Labor Statistics Predictions & Odds· 116 markets

March Inflation US - Annual (Higher Brackets)
$833k Vol.
$92k Liq.
1
Ends in 10 days
$833k Vol.$92k Liq.1Ends in 10 days
50%
≥3.4%

99%
≥2.8%

89%
≥0.8%

How high will inflation get in 2026?
$341k Vol.
$165k Liq.
22
Ends in 9 months
$341k Vol.$165k Liq.22Ends in 9 months
98%
Above 3%

30%
4.4%

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?
$10k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 11 months
$10k Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in 11 months
87%
Up

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
$336k Vol.
$21k Liq.
16
Ends in 9 months
$336k Vol.$21k Liq.16Ends in 9 months
64%
5.0%

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026?
$0 Vol.
$143 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$0 Vol.$143 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
82%
Up

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?
$5k Vol.
$3k Liq.
2
Ends in 11 months
$5k Vol.$3k Liq.2Ends in 11 months
12%
Yes

US recession by end of 2026?
$923k Vol.
$77k Liq.
52
Ends in 10 months
$923k Vol.$77k Liq.52Ends in 10 months
38%
Yes

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$30k Vol.
$12k Liq.
4
Ends in 30 days
$30k Vol.$12k Liq.4Ends in 30 days
41%
April 30

23%
Isfahan nuclear facility

25%
<-1.0%

White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$53k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$53k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 4 days
41%
160-179

White House # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$172k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
$172k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in about 14 hours
79%
160-179

Canada Annual Inflation 2026
$16k Vol.
$15k Liq.
1
Ends in 10 months
$16k Vol.$15k Liq.1Ends in 10 months
33%
3.0-3.4%

34%
800–900B

Number of TSA passengers March 30 - April 5?
$3k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$3k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 5 days
35%
17.5-18m
