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Layoff Predictions & Odds· 110 markets

AllPoliticsCryptoIranBusinessFinanceTrumpAirdropsFedElon MuskOilAIEmploymentCultureLayoffsNuclearTechMinnesotaUnemploymentFed RatesGeopoliticsVanceEconomyTim WalzFOMCBlsParlaysJapanJerome PowellEconomic PolicyWorldBig TechMacro IndicatorsHit PriceFeaturedMonthlyMonthly HitICEMegaETHPre MarketMinneapolisJobs ReportIndiciesSPXDJIS&P 500NFPNonfarm PayrollMinnesota UnrestSteve GroveJonathan RossMilitary StrikesIran CeasefireU.S. X IranIsrael X Iran
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech·Big Tech

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

$10k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 11 months

87%

Up

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 20​26?

Tech·AI

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 20​26?

$6k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ended

5%

Up

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

Tech·Macro Indicators

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

$0 Vol.
$149 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

82%

Up

March Unemployment Rate

Economy·NFP

March Unemployment Rate

$39k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 3 days

30%

4.4%

MegaETH airdrop by...?

Crypto·Airdrops

MegaETH airdrop by...?

$2.0m Vol.
$10k Liq.
108
Ends in 3 months

46%

Yes

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

Economy·NFP

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

$336k Vol.
$22k Liq.
16
Ends in 9 months

64%

5.0%

Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by March 31?

Tech·Elon Musk

Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by March 31?

$199k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ended

0%

Yes

February Unemployment Rate - Japan

Economy·unemployment

February Unemployment Rate - Japan

$40k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ended

99%

2.6%

ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

Politics·minnesota

ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

$316k Vol.
$11k Liq.
27
Ended

0%

Yes

Next leader out of power before 2027?

Geopolitics · World

Next leader out of power before 2027?

$3.4m Vol.
$350k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

60%

Orbán - Hungary PM

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Geopolitics·Trump

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

$30k Vol.
$14k Liq.
4
Ends in 30 days

38%

April 30

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

Politics·Iran

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

$379k Vol.
$15k Liq.
68

24%

Isfahan nuclear facility

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Economy·Fed

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

$2k Vol.
$136k Liq.
Ends in 4 months

75%

Pause–Pause–Pause

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Economy·Fed

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

$715k Vol.
$116k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months

82%

Pause–Pause–Pause

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

Finance·SPX

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

$24k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

95%

↓ $6,200

What will Dow Jones (DJIA) hit in March?

Finance·Monthly

What will Dow Jones (DJIA) hit in March?

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 1 day

41%

↓ 39000

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Economy·Economic Policy

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

$392k Vol.
$96k Liq.
23
Ends in 29 days

97%

Pause–Pause–Pause

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of June?

S&P 500 · Indicies

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of June?

$19k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

88%

↓ $6,300

Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

Politics·Trump

Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

$82k Vol.
$20k Liq.
8
Ended

2%

Yes

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Crypto·Airdrops

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

$433k Vol.
$4k Liq.
28

37%

Yes