Layoff Predictions & Odds· 110 markets
77%
Up
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 2026?
$6k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$6k Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
9%
Up
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026?
$0 Vol.
$137 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$0 Vol.$137 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
82%
Up
32%
4.4%
45%
Yes
Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by March 31?
$198k Vol.
$8k Liq.
6
Ends in about 9 hours
$198k Vol.$8k Liq.6Ends in about 9 hours
0%
Yes
ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
$312k Vol.
$11k Liq.
27
Ends in about 9 hours
$312k Vol.$11k Liq.27Ends in about 9 hours
0%
Yes
Geopolitics · World
Next leader out of power before 2027?
$3.4m Vol.
$406k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3.4m Vol.$406k Liq.Ends in 9 months
60%
Orbán - Hungary PM
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$14k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$14k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30
17%
Isfahan nuclear facility
83%
Pause–Pause–Pause
What will Dow Jones (DJIA) hit in March?
$889 Vol.
$817 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$889 Vol.$817 Liq.Ends in 1 day
46%
↓ 42600
97%
Pause–Pause–Pause
Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
$82k Vol.
$20k Liq.
8
Ends in about 9 hours
$82k Vol.$20k Liq.8Ends in about 9 hours
1%
Yes
61%
April 30
83%
April 30
Will anyone charged over daycare fraud in MN be deported by March 31?
$35k Vol.
$8k Liq.
3
Ends in about 9 hours
$35k Vol.$8k Liq.3Ends in about 9 hours
0%
Yes
1%
↑ 700
SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?
$20k Vol.
$4k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$20k Vol.$4k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
70%
Yes