Leabnon Predictions & Odds· 138 markets
96%
March 31
Israel military action against Lebanon on...?
$5k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 30 days
$5k Vol.$25k Liq.Ends in 30 days
96%
April 2
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
$58k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$58k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 9 months
20%
Yes
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?
$16 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$16 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 9 months
22%
Yes
Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner
$213k Vol.
$92k Liq.
13
Ends in 2 months
$213k Vol.$92k Liq.13Ends in 2 months
14%
Lebanese Forces (LF)
70%
March 31
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
$144k Vol.
$23k Liq.
19
Ends in 3 months
$144k Vol.$23k Liq.19Ends in 3 months
61%
Yes
Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?
$72k Vol.
$21k Liq.
1
Ends in 30 days
$72k Vol.$21k Liq.1Ends in 30 days
4%
April 30
Israel military action against Beirut on...?
$33k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 30 days
$33k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in 30 days
70%
April 1
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by April 30?
$3k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 30 days
$3k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 30 days
13%
Yes
Hezbollah military action against Israel on...?
$2.5m Vol.
$5k Liq.
🔥$121k today
1
Ended
$2.5m Vol.🔥$121k today$5k Liq.1Ended
97%
Yes
Iran military action against ___ by March 31?
$3.6m Vol.
$187k Liq.
🔥$68k today
1
Ended
$3.6m Vol.🔥$68k today$187k Liq.1Ended
97%
Bahrain
Iran military action against ___ by April 30?
$185k Vol.
$161k Liq.
Ends in 30 days
$185k Vol.$161k Liq.Ends in 30 days
99%
Bahrain
How many different countries will Israel strike in March?
$339k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ended
$339k Vol.$16k Liq.Ended
88%
3
How many different countries will Israel strike in April?
$19k Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ends in 30 days
$19k Vol.$44k Liq.Ends in 30 days
45%
3
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
$337k Vol.
$48k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$337k Vol.$48k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
28%
Somaliland
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?
$391k Vol.
$12k Liq.
18
Ended
$391k Vol.$12k Liq.18Ended
50%
June 30, 2026
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?
$388k Vol.
$40k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$388k Vol.$40k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
39%
June 30