Leabnon Predictions & Odds· 138 markets
Israel military action against Lebanon on...?
$3.6m Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$3.6m Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
96%
March 31
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
$58k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$58k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 9 months
23%
Yes
Israel military action against Lebanon on...?
$4k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$4k Vol.$33k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
96%
April 2
Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner
$213k Vol.
$119k Liq.
13
Ends in 2 months
$213k Vol.$119k Liq.13Ends in 2 months
14%
Lebanese Forces (LF)
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?
$16 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$16 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 9 months
23%
Yes
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
$134k Vol.
$28k Liq.
19
Ends in 3 months
$134k Vol.$28k Liq.19Ends in 3 months
66%
Yes
Israel military action against Beirut on...?
$130k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$130k Vol.$27k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
99%
March 24
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?
$142k Vol.
$13k Liq.
15
Ends in about 7 hours
$142k Vol.$13k Liq.15Ends in about 7 hours
1%
Yes
Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?
$72k Vol.
$26k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
$72k Vol.$26k Liq.1Ends in about 1 month
5%
April 30
Will Hezbollah disarm by...?
$874k Vol.
$76k Liq.
1
Ends in about 7 hours
$874k Vol.$76k Liq.1Ends in about 7 hours
29%
December 31
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by April 30?
$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$3k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
11%
Yes
Israel military action against Beirut on...?
$33k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$33k Vol.$21k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
70%
April 1
Hezbollah military action against Israel on...?
$2.5m Vol.
$15k Liq.
🔥$430k today
1
Ends in about 7 hours
$2.5m Vol.🔥$430k today$15k Liq.1Ends in about 7 hours
94%
March 30
Iran military action against ___ by March 31?
$3.6m Vol.
$187k Liq.
🔥$198k today
Ends in about 7 hours
$3.6m Vol.🔥$198k today$187k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
98%
Bahrain
Iran military action against ___ by April 30?
$167k Vol.
$189k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$167k Vol.$189k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
98%
Bahrain
How many different countries will Israel strike in April?
$17k Vol.
$47k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$17k Vol.$47k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
46%
≥4
How many different countries will Israel strike in March?
$330k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$330k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
73%
3
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?
$388k Vol.
$45k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
$388k Vol.$45k Liq.8Ends in 3 months
39%
June 30
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
$337k Vol.
$46k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$337k Vol.$46k Liq.Ends in 9 months
29%
Somaliland
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?
$390k Vol.
$12k Liq.
17
Ends in about 7 hours
$390k Vol.$12k Liq.17Ends in about 7 hours
4%
Yes