Lebannon Predictions & Odds· 134 markets
I
Israel military action against Lebanon on...?
$14k Vol.
$52k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$14k Vol.$52k Liq.Ends in 28 days
99%
April 1
I
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
$58k Vol.
$7k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$58k Vol.$7k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
20%
Yes
L
Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner
$218k Vol.
$98k Liq.
13
Ends in about 2 months
$218k Vol.$98k Liq.13Ends in about 2 months
14%
Lebanese Forces (LF)
J
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?
$31 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$31 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 9 months
25%
Yes
I
Israel military action against Beirut on...?
$48k Vol.
$41k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$48k Vol.$41k Liq.Ends in 28 days
97%
April 1
I
Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?
$87k Vol.
$20k Liq.
1
Ends in 28 days
$87k Vol.$20k Liq.1Ends in 28 days
3%
Yes
I
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
$156k Vol.
$14k Liq.
20
Ends in 3 months
$156k Vol.$14k Liq.20Ends in 3 months
50%
Yes
U
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by April 30?
$6k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$6k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 28 days
7%
Yes
I
40%
March 29
W
24%
Yes
I
Iran military action against ___ by March 31?
$4.0m Vol.
$775k Liq.
🔥$246k today
Ended
$4.0m Vol.🔥$246k today$775k Liq.Ended
100%
Bahrain
I
Iran military action against ___ by April 30?
$228k Vol.
$814k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$228k Vol.$814k Liq.Ends in 28 days
100%
Bahrain
I
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?
$430k Vol.
$37k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
$430k Vol.$37k Liq.8Ends in 3 months
41%
June 30
H
Hezbollah military action against Israel on...?
$41k Vol.
$63k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$41k Vol.$63k Liq.Ends in 28 days
97%
April 2
N
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?
$405k Vol.
$17k Liq.
17
Ended
$405k Vol.$17k Liq.17Ended
23%
June 30, 2026
H
How many countries will Israel conduct military action against in April?
$28k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$28k Vol.$43k Liq.Ends in 28 days
43%
3
H
How many different countries will Israel take military action against in March?
$349k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ended
$349k Vol.$27k Liq.Ended
96%
3
H
96%
Yes
W
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
$356k Vol.
$70k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$356k Vol.$70k Liq.Ends in 9 months
27%
Kuwait
W
Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?
$128k Vol.
$60k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$128k Vol.$60k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
11%
Syria