Lebannon Predictions & Odds· 138 markets

Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

$3.6m Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours

100%

March 30

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

$58k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

22%

Yes

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

$213k Vol.
$121k Liq.
13
Ends in 2 months

14%

Lebanese Forces (LF)

Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

$4k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

96%

April 2

Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?

Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?

$16 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

22%

Yes

Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?

Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?

$134k Vol.
$17k Liq.
19
Ends in 3 months

66%

Yes

Israel military action against Beirut on...?

Israel military action against Beirut on...?

$122k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours

100%

March 30

Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?

Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?

$71k Vol.
$20k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month

6%

April 30

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?

$141k Vol.
$14k Liq.
15
Ends in about 11 hours

1%

Yes

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

$874k Vol.
$76k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours

28%

December 31

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by April 30?

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by April 30?

$3k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

10%

Yes

Israel military action against Beirut on...?

Israel military action against Beirut on...?

$33k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

71%

April 1

Hezbollah military action against Israel on...?

Hezbollah military action against Israel on...?

$2.4m Vol.
$18k Liq.
🔥$624k today
1
Ends in about 11 hours

87%

March 30

Iran military action against ___ by March 31?

Iran military action against ___ by March 31?

$3.6m Vol.
$185k Liq.
🔥$284k today
Ends in about 11 hours

97%

Bahrain

Iran military action against ___ by April 30?

Iran military action against ___ by April 30?

$164k Vol.
$155k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

98%

Kuwait

How many different countries will Israel strike in April?

How many different countries will Israel strike in April?

$15k Vol.
$37k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

48%

≥4

How many different countries will Israel strike in March?

How many different countries will Israel strike in March?

$329k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours

79%

3

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?

$387k Vol.
$46k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months

40%

June 30

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

$336k Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

28%

Somaliland

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

$389k Vol.
$12k Liq.
16
Ends in about 11 hours

3%

Yes