Lebannon Predictions & Odds· 138 markets

Israel military action against Lebanon on...?
$3.6m Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$3.6m Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
100%
March 30

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
$58k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$58k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 9 months
22%
Yes

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner
$213k Vol.
$121k Liq.
13
Ends in 2 months
$213k Vol.$121k Liq.13Ends in 2 months
14%
Lebanese Forces (LF)

Israel military action against Lebanon on...?
$4k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$4k Vol.$20k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
96%
April 2

Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?
$16 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$16 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 9 months
22%
Yes

Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
$134k Vol.
$17k Liq.
19
Ends in 3 months
$134k Vol.$17k Liq.19Ends in 3 months
66%
Yes

Israel military action against Beirut on...?
$122k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$122k Vol.$34k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
100%
March 30

Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?
$71k Vol.
$20k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
$71k Vol.$20k Liq.1Ends in about 1 month
6%
April 30

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?
$141k Vol.
$14k Liq.
15
Ends in about 11 hours
$141k Vol.$14k Liq.15Ends in about 11 hours
1%
Yes

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?
$874k Vol.
$76k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$874k Vol.$76k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
28%
December 31

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by April 30?
$3k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$3k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
10%
Yes

Israel military action against Beirut on...?
$33k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$33k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
71%
April 1

Hezbollah military action against Israel on...?
$2.4m Vol.
$18k Liq.
🔥$624k today
1
Ends in about 11 hours
$2.4m Vol.🔥$624k today$18k Liq.1Ends in about 11 hours
87%
March 30

Iran military action against ___ by March 31?
$3.6m Vol.
$185k Liq.
🔥$284k today
Ends in about 11 hours
$3.6m Vol.🔥$284k today$185k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
97%
Bahrain

Iran military action against ___ by April 30?
$164k Vol.
$155k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$164k Vol.$155k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
98%
Kuwait

How many different countries will Israel strike in April?
$15k Vol.
$37k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$15k Vol.$37k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
48%
≥4

How many different countries will Israel strike in March?
$329k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$329k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
79%
3

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?
$387k Vol.
$46k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
$387k Vol.$46k Liq.8Ends in 3 months
40%
June 30

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
$336k Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$336k Vol.$44k Liq.Ends in 9 months
28%
Somaliland

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?
$389k Vol.
$12k Liq.
16
Ends in about 11 hours
$389k Vol.$12k Liq.16Ends in about 11 hours
3%
Yes