Macro Fed Predictions & Odds· 124 markets

F
Fed rate hike in 2026?

Fed rate hike in 2026?

17%

Yes

$807k Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ends in 8 months
W
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

56%

↓ 3.25%

$1.3m Vol.
$226k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
P
Price of Dozen Eggs in March?

Price of Dozen Eggs in March?

66%

$2.25–2.50

$398k Vol.
$47k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
W
Will ground beef hit __ in 2026?

85%

$7.000+

$62 Vol.
$585 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Will SOFR hit __ in April?

Will SOFR hit __ in April?

97%

↓3.64%

$3k Vol.
$620 Liq.
Ends in 26 days
T
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

94%

Up

$10k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 11 months
T
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

91%

Up

$78 Vol.
$596 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
F
Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

86%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$721k Vol.
$100k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
F
Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

98%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$421k Vol.
$92k Liq.
Ends in 25 days
W
White House # posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?

38%

180-199

$6k Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
F
Fed Decision in July?

Fed Decision in July?

79%

No change

$3.3m Vol.
$299k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
W
White House # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?

33%

160-179

$20k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
W
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

32%

3.75%

$6.0m Vol.
$296k Liq.
5
Ends in 8 months
F
Fed abolished before 2027?

Fed abolished before 2027?

4%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
F
Fed Decision in June?

Fed Decision in June?

91%

No change

$5.4m Vol.
$1.0m Liq.
🔥$82k today
Ends in 2 months
P
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

Parlays · Hide From New

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

76%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

$107k Vol.
$41k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
F
Fed decision in April?

Fed decision in April?

98%

No change

$49.4m Vol.
$4.3m Liq.
🔥$1.7m today
4
Ends in 25 days
H
How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?

32%

51

$62k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
J
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

1%

Yes

$1.9m Vol.
$40k Liq.
36
Ends in about 1 month