Macro Predictions & Odds· 180 markets
Brazil Presidential Election
$33.8m Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
🔥$784k today
3,676
Ends in 6 months
$33.8m Vol.🔥$784k today$1.6m Liq.3,676Ends in 6 months
42%
Flávio Bolsonaro
Next Prime Minister of Hungary
$39.5m Vol.
$1.8m Liq.
🔥$621k today
2
Ends in 12 days
$39.5m Vol.🔥$621k today$1.8m Liq.2Ends in 12 days
65%
Péter Magyar
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
$1.3m Vol.
$198k Liq.
🔥$125k today
17
Ends in 9 months
$1.3m Vol.🔥$125k today$198k Liq.17Ends in 9 months
64%
↓ 3.25%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
$1.6m Vol.
$60k Liq.
🔥$92k today
102
Ends in about 1 month
$1.6m Vol.🔥$92k today$60k Liq.102Ends in about 1 month
25%
Yes
Fed rate hike in 2026?
$701k Vol.
$49k Liq.
🔥$52k today
27
Ends in 8 months
$701k Vol.🔥$52k today$49k Liq.27Ends in 8 months
21%
Yes
98%
≥2.8%
March Inflation US - Annual (Higher Brackets)
$821k Vol.
$81k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
$821k Vol.$81k Liq.Ends in 10 days
46%
≥3.4%
US GDP growth in Q1 2026?
$226k Vol.
$25k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$226k Vol.$25k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
25%
2.5–3.0%
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
$7.6m Vol.
$169k Liq.
706
Ends in 9 months
$7.6m Vol.$169k Liq.706Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes
89%
≥0.8%
China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q1 2026?
$204k Vol.
$50k Liq.
Ends in 17 days
$204k Vol.$50k Liq.Ends in 17 days
71%
4.5-5.0%
US recession by end of 2026?
$920k Vol.
$71k Liq.
50
Ends in 10 months
$920k Vol.$71k Liq.50Ends in 10 months
36%
Yes
How high will inflation get in 2026?
$340k Vol.
$146k Liq.
21
Ends in 9 months
$340k Vol.$146k Liq.21Ends in 9 months
98%
Above 3%
33%
4.4%
38%
100k+
72%
4.0–5.0%
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?
$10k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 11 months
$10k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 11 months
80%
Up
Argentina Monthly Inflation - March
$14k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 14 days
$14k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in 14 days
75%
3.1–3.3%
56%
$2.25–2.50
24%
<-1.0%