Maritime Transport Predictions & Odds· 348 markets
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
$31k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$31k Vol.$34k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
36%
Yes
W
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?
$778k Vol.
$205k Liq.
25
Ends in 27 days
$778k Vol.$205k Liq.25Ends in 27 days
12%
United States
A
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?
$31k Vol.
$55k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$31k Vol.$55k Liq.Ends in 27 days
41%
0-10
A
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?
$1.6m Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ended
$1.6m Vol.$43k Liq.Ended
99%
0-10
W
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?
$23k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$23k Vol.$39k Liq.Ends in 27 days
52%
20+
H
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 30-Apr 5)
$45k Vol.
$48k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
$45k Vol.$48k Liq.Ends in 2 days
27%
30-34
A
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?
$381k Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in about 10 hours
$381k Vol.$35k Liq.Ends in about 10 hours
98%
0-10
1
0%
Yes
2
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?
$130k Vol.
$35k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
$130k Vol.$35k Liq.13Ends in 3 months
10%
Yes
W
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?
$11k Vol.
$22k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$11k Vol.$22k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
9%
Yes
I
Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?
$289k Vol.
$41k Liq.
3
Ends in about 2 months
$289k Vol.$41k Liq.3Ends in about 2 months
19%
May 31
W
Will Putin visit China by May 31?
$4k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$4k Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
75%
Yes
U
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
$77k Vol.
$21k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$77k Vol.$21k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
50%
Yes
F
31%
June 30
I
Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?
$96k Vol.
$14k Liq.
1
Ends in 27 days
$96k Vol.$14k Liq.1Ends in 27 days
8%
Yes
M
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?
$765k Vol.
$78k Liq.
62
Ends in 27 days
$765k Vol.$78k Liq.62Ends in 27 days
10%
June 30
W
Who will enter Iran by June 30?
$237k Vol.
$275k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$237k Vol.$275k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
6%
Pete Hegseth
U
28%
Yes
M
67%
December 31
W
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
$466k Vol.
$57k Liq.
50
Ends in 3 months
$466k Vol.$57k Liq.50Ends in 3 months
89%
Yes