Nomination Predictions & Odds· 213 markets
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?
$65k Vol.
$31k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
$65k Vol.$31k Liq.1Ends in about 1 month
3%
Yes
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by March 31?
$0 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ended
$0 Vol.$3k Liq.Ended
53%
>5%
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$944.8m Vol.
$38.5m Liq.
🔥$8.9m today
629
Ends in over 2 years
$944.8m Vol.🔥$8.9m today$38.5m Liq.629Ends in over 2 years
24%
Gavin Newsom
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
$497.4m Vol.
$28.0m Liq.
🔥$6.9m today
328
Ends in over 2 years
$497.4m Vol.🔥$6.9m today$28.0m Liq.328Ends in over 2 years
49%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Iran leader end of 2026?
$5.6m Vol.
$848k Liq.
71
Ends in 9 months
$5.6m Vol.$848k Liq.71Ends in 9 months
52%
Mojtaba Khamenei
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?
$436k Vol.
$27k Liq.
12
Ends in about 1 month
$436k Vol.$27k Liq.12Ends in about 1 month
52%
May 15
85%
Ritchie Torres
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
$845k Vol.
$87k Liq.
30
Ends in 9 months
$845k Vol.$87k Liq.30Ends in 9 months
15%
Yes
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
$2.5m Vol.
$175k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$2.5m Vol.$175k Liq.Ends in 9 months
60%
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner
$299k Vol.
$91k Liq.
2
Ends in 4 months
$299k Vol.$91k Liq.2Ends in 4 months
71%
Jay Feely
GA-05 Democratic Primary Winner
$6k Vol.
$48k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$6k Vol.$48k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
96%
Nikema Williams
KY-04 Republican Primary Winner
$127k Vol.
$58k Liq.
28
Ends in about 2 months
$127k Vol.$58k Liq.28Ends in about 2 months
64%
Thomas Massie
44%
Alex Pelbath
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$97k Vol.
$38k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$97k Vol.$38k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
46%
US x Iran Ceasefire
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?
$288k Vol.
$739k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$288k Vol.$739k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
51%
Gretchen Whitmer
77%
Manny Rutinel
48%
Shri Thanedar
PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner
$7k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$7k Vol.$33k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
69%
Bob Brooks
TX-33 Democratic Primary Winner
$51k Vol.
$33k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months
$51k Vol.$33k Liq.1Ends in about 2 months
72%
Colin Allred
IN-07 Democratic Primary Winner
$3k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$3k Vol.$39k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
92%
André Carson