Nomination Predictions & Odds· 599 markets
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?
$65k Vol.
$30k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months
$65k Vol.$30k Liq.1Ends in about 2 months
3%
Yes
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by March 31?
$0 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$0 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
53%
>5%
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$940.8m Vol.
$36.1m Liq.
🔥$8.3m today
627
Ends in over 2 years
$940.8m Vol.🔥$8.3m today$36.1m Liq.627Ends in over 2 years
24%
Gavin Newsom
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
$494.8m Vol.
$28.2m Liq.
🔥$6.9m today
328
Ends in over 2 years
$494.8m Vol.🔥$6.9m today$28.2m Liq.328Ends in over 2 years
49%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
$2.5m Vol.
$158k Liq.
🔥$203k today
Ends in 9 months
$2.5m Vol.🔥$203k today$158k Liq.Ends in 9 months
57%
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?
$435k Vol.
$23k Liq.
11
Ends in about 2 months
$435k Vol.$23k Liq.11Ends in about 2 months
52%
May 15
Iran leader end of 2026?
$5.6m Vol.
$801k Liq.
71
Ends in 9 months
$5.6m Vol.$801k Liq.71Ends in 9 months
48%
Mojtaba Khamenei
85%
Ritchie Torres
How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?
$67k Vol.
$53k Liq.
5
Ends in 5 months
$67k Vol.$53k Liq.5Ends in 5 months
57%
7
AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner
$299k Vol.
$80k Liq.
2
Ends in 4 months
$299k Vol.$80k Liq.2Ends in 4 months
71%
Jay Feely
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$97k Vol.
$34k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$97k Vol.$34k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
50%
US x Iran Ceasefire
GA-05 Democratic Primary Winner
$5k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$5k Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
96%
Nikema Williams
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
$841k Vol.
$91k Liq.
29
Ends in 9 months
$841k Vol.$91k Liq.29Ends in 9 months
15%
Yes
KY-04 Republican Primary Winner
$127k Vol.
$50k Liq.
27
Ends in about 2 months
$127k Vol.$50k Liq.27Ends in about 2 months
64%
Thomas Massie
65%
Claire Valdez
IN-07 Democratic Primary Winner
$3k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$3k Vol.$24k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
92%
André Carson
72%
Eric Chung
76%
Manny Rutinel
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?
$282k Vol.
$545k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$282k Vol.$545k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
51%
Gretchen Whitmer
PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner
$7k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$7k Vol.$29k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
70%
Bob Brooks