Nomination Predictions & Odds· 206 markets

K
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?

Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?

$66k Vol.
$33k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month

2%

Yes

D
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

$964.3m Vol.
$37.5m Liq.
🔥$7.0m today
629
Ends in over 2 years

25%

Gavin Newsom

R
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

$508.0m Vol.
$28.1m Liq.
🔥$4.1m today
332
Ends in over 2 years

49%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

I
Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

$5.8m Vol.
$960k Liq.
🔥$89k today
72
Ends in 9 months

66%

Mojtaba Khamenei

W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

$2.6m Vol.
$159k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

43%

Pam Bondi

W
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

$892k Vol.
$98k Liq.
30
Ends in 9 months

11%

Yes

W
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

$380k Vol.
$660k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months

51%

Gretchen Whitmer

K
KY-04 Republican Primary Winner

KY-04 Republican Primary Winner

$133k Vol.
$53k Liq.
29
Ends in about 2 months

66%

Thomas Massie

W
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

$102k Vol.
$42k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months

54%

US x Iran Ceasefire

P
PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner

PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner

$8k Vol.
$38k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months

69%

Bob Brooks

T
TX-33 Democratic Primary Winner

TX-33 Democratic Primary Winner

$54k Vol.
$35k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months

70%

Colin Allred

K
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?

$438k Vol.
$35k Liq.
11
Ends in about 1 month

51%

May 15

T
TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner

TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner

$5k Vol.
$23k Liq.
1
Ends in 4 months

57%

Steve Cohen

I
IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner

IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner

$6k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 2 months

36%

Kathy Dolter

I
IA-02 Republican Primary Winner

IA-02 Republican Primary Winner

$7k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 2 months

94%

Joe Mitchell

U
UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner

UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner

$12k Vol.
$49k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

50%

Nate Blouin

N
NY-17 Democratic Primary Winner

NY-17 Democratic Primary Winner

$54k Vol.
$62k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months

57%

Cait Conley

A
AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner

AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner

$303k Vol.
$95k Liq.
2
Ends in 4 months

70%

Jay Feely

N
NE-02 Republican Primary Winner

NE-02 Republican Primary Winner

$12k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

94%

Brinker Harding