Nomination Predictions & Odds· 206 markets
K
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?
$66k Vol.
$33k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
$66k Vol.$33k Liq.1Ends in about 1 month
2%
Yes
J
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by March 31?
$0 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ended
$0 Vol.$3k Liq.Ended
53%
>5%
D
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$964.3m Vol.
$37.5m Liq.
🔥$7.0m today
629
Ends in over 2 years
$964.3m Vol.🔥$7.0m today$37.5m Liq.629Ends in over 2 years
25%
Gavin Newsom
R
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
$508.0m Vol.
$28.1m Liq.
🔥$4.1m today
332
Ends in over 2 years
$508.0m Vol.🔥$4.1m today$28.1m Liq.332Ends in over 2 years
49%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
I
Iran leader end of 2026?
$5.8m Vol.
$960k Liq.
🔥$89k today
72
Ends in 9 months
$5.8m Vol.🔥$89k today$960k Liq.72Ends in 9 months
66%
Mojtaba Khamenei
W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
$2.6m Vol.
$159k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$2.6m Vol.$159k Liq.Ends in 9 months
43%
Pam Bondi
W
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
$892k Vol.
$98k Liq.
30
Ends in 9 months
$892k Vol.$98k Liq.30Ends in 9 months
11%
Yes
W
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?
$380k Vol.
$660k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$380k Vol.$660k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
51%
Gretchen Whitmer
K
KY-04 Republican Primary Winner
$133k Vol.
$53k Liq.
29
Ends in about 2 months
$133k Vol.$53k Liq.29Ends in about 2 months
66%
Thomas Massie
W
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$102k Vol.
$42k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$102k Vol.$42k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
54%
US x Iran Ceasefire
P
PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner
$8k Vol.
$38k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$8k Vol.$38k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
69%
Bob Brooks
T
TX-33 Democratic Primary Winner
$54k Vol.
$35k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months
$54k Vol.$35k Liq.1Ends in about 2 months
70%
Colin Allred
K
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?
$438k Vol.
$35k Liq.
11
Ends in about 1 month
$438k Vol.$35k Liq.11Ends in about 1 month
51%
May 15
T
57%
Steve Cohen
I
36%
Kathy Dolter
I
94%
Joe Mitchell
U
50%
Nate Blouin
N
NY-17 Democratic Primary Winner
$54k Vol.
$62k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$54k Vol.$62k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
57%
Cait Conley
A
AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner
$303k Vol.
$95k Liq.
2
Ends in 4 months
$303k Vol.$95k Liq.2Ends in 4 months
70%
Jay Feely
N
NE-02 Republican Primary Winner
$12k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$12k Vol.$32k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
94%
Brinker Harding