Open Source Intel Predictions & Odds· 860 markets
U
32%
December 31
U
US strike on Mexico by...?
$3.3m Vol.
$46k Liq.
164
Ends in 9 months
$3.3m Vol.$46k Liq.164Ends in 9 months
21%
December 31
A
23%
December 31
U
20%
December 31
H
How many times will the US take military action against Somalia in March?
$793k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$793k Vol.$39k Liq.Ends in 1 day
99%
6-9
O
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
$102k Vol.
$9k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$102k Vol.$9k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
6%
Yes
C
6%
Yes
C
65%
April 17
M
51%
Yes
W
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
$252k Vol.
$2k Liq.
31
Ended
$252k Vol.$2k Liq.31Ended
31%
Yes
O
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
$45k Vol.
$6k Liq.
10
Ends in 9 months
$45k Vol.$6k Liq.10Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes
O
36%
December 31, 2026
1
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
$530k Vol.
$28k Liq.
26
Ends in 9 months
$530k Vol.$28k Liq.26Ends in 9 months
6%
Yes
S
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
$7k Vol.
$3k Liq.
5
Ends in over 1 year
$7k Vol.$3k Liq.5Ends in over 1 year
78%
SpaceX
W
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
$57k Vol.
$7k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
$57k Vol.$7k Liq.1Ends in over 1 year
96%
SpaceX
G
83%
December 31, 2026
A
20%
Yes
W
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?
$114k Vol.
$5k Liq.
12
Ends in 9 months
$114k Vol.$5k Liq.12Ends in 9 months
37%
Necklace
W
Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?
$23k Vol.
$42k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$23k Vol.$42k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes