Q2 2024 Predictions & Odds· 122 markets
2
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?
$130k Vol.
$21k Liq.
10
Ends in 3 months
$130k Vol.$21k Liq.10Ends in 3 months
10%
Yes
U
US recession by end of 2026?
$1.0m Vol.
$67k Liq.
63
Ends in 10 months
$1.0m Vol.$67k Liq.63Ends in 10 months
33%
Yes
G
96%
Democratic Party
T
86%
Republican Party
I
91%
Republican Party
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
$0 Vol.
$7k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$7k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
85%
Yes
V
92%
Democratic Party
I
89%
Republican Party
%2Bplaced%2Bon%2Ba%2Bvibrant%2Bgreen%2Barrow%2Bthat's%2Bshooting%2Bupwards%252C%2Bsymbolizing%2Bthe%2Brapid%2Bgrowth%2Band%2Bbullis.webp&w=96&q=75){kind=small}
W
2025 or later
W
Not proven in 2024
H
<$250b
%2Bplaced%2Bon%2Ba%2Bvibrant%2Bgreen%2Barrow%2Bthat's%2Bshooting%2Bupwards%252C%2Bsymbolizing%2Bthe%2Brapid%2Bgrowth%2Band%2Bbullish%2Btre.webp&w=96&q=75){kind=small}
S
Q4
F
0 bps increase?