Q2 2024 Predictions & Odds· 122 markets
2
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?
$130k Vol.
$35k Liq.
12
Ends in 3 months
$130k Vol.$35k Liq.12Ends in 3 months
10%
Yes
U
US recession by end of 2026?
$1.0m Vol.
$67k Liq.
63
Ends in 10 months
$1.0m Vol.$67k Liq.63Ends in 10 months
33%
Yes
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
$0 Vol.
$7k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$7k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
85%
Yes
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W
2025 or later
W
Not proven in 2024
H
<$250b
%2Bplaced%2Bon%2Ba%2Bvibrant%2Bgreen%2Barrow%2Bthat's%2Bshooting%2Bupwards%252C%2Bsymbolizing%2Bthe%2Brapid%2Bgrowth%2Band%2Bbullish%2Btre.webp&w=96&q=75){kind=small}
S
Q4
F
0 bps increase?
F
No Change
F
No Change
F
No change
J
Weather · climate & weather
June 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)
$199k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6
Ended
$199k Vol.$0 Liq.6Ended
1.16-1.22