Roll Predictions & Odds· 137 markets
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?
$1.6m Vol.
$55k Liq.
🔥$205k today
Ends in about 7 hours
$1.6m Vol.🔥$205k today$55k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
97%
0-10
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?
$328k Vol.
$62k Liq.
🔥$154k today
Ends in 3 days
$328k Vol.🔥$154k today$62k Liq.Ends in 3 days
82%
0-10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
$1.6m Vol.
$63k Liq.
🔥$87k today
101
Ends in about 1 month
$1.6m Vol.🔥$87k today$63k Liq.101Ends in about 1 month
22%
Yes
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 17-23)
$444k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ended
$444k Vol.$43k Liq.Ended
53%
20-24
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
$608k Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$608k Vol.$44k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
3%
20+
Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?
$81k Vol.
$56k Liq.
1
Ends in about 7 hours
$81k Vol.$56k Liq.1Ends in about 7 hours
9%
Jacky Rosen
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?
$11k Vol.
$79k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$11k Vol.$79k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
36%
0-10
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?
$7k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$7k Vol.$34k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
64%
20+
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)
$24k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ended
$24k Vol.$15k Liq.Ended
49%
25-29
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (March 30 - April 4)
$2k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$2k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 4 days
92%
March 30
56%
April 15
Claude 5 released by…?
$2.9m Vol.
$83k Liq.
162
Ends in about 1 month
$2.9m Vol.$83k Liq.162Ends in about 1 month
75%
June 30, 2026
Gemini 3.5 released by...?
$809k Vol.
$100k Liq.
49
Ends in 3 months
$809k Vol.$100k Liq.49Ends in 3 months
44%
June 30
Will Olivia Rodrigo announce a new album by...?
$40k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$40k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
76%
April 30
Claude Mythos released by…?
$42k Vol.
$20k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
$42k Vol.$20k Liq.1Ends in about 1 month
70%
June 30
49%
June 30
21%
June 30, 2026
82%
December 31, 2026
VEO 4 released by...?
$41k Vol.
$15k Liq.
1
Ends in about 7 hours
$41k Vol.$15k Liq.1Ends in about 7 hours
2%
Yes