Sanctions Predictions & Odds· 505 markets

W
What Iranian demands will Trump agree to in April?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to in April?

44%

Unfreeze Iranian Assets

$603k Vol.
$141k Liq.
🔥$142k today
18
Ends in 15 days
I
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

97%

December 31

$41.3m Vol.
$935k Liq.
🔥$1.4m today
2,188
Ended
W
What will Iran conduct military action against by April 30?

24%

Ruwais Refinery

$462k Vol.
$155k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
W
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

4%

Yes

$1.1m Vol.
$73k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by...?

4%

April 30

$239k Vol.
$40k Liq.
2
Ends in 15 days
U
US x Cuba economic deal by...?

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

25%

June 30

$117k Vol.
$46k Liq.
15
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

92%

Yes

$538k Vol.
$60k Liq.
59
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

44%

Yes

$96k Vol.
$19k Liq.
16
Ends in 9 months
M
More EU sanctions on Russia by March 31?

Yes

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
M
More EU sanctions on Russia by December 31?

Yes

$45k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
U
UK sanctions on Russia by October 31?

World · Geopolitics

UK sanctions on Russia by October 31?

Yes

$15k Vol.
$0 Liq.
11
Ended
E
EU sanctions on Israel by December 31?

No

$44k Vol.
$0 Liq.
19
Ended
W
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?

Yes

$8.0m Vol.
$0 Liq.
449
Ended
M
More EU sanctions on Russia by...?

October 31

$210k Vol.
$0 Liq.
84
Ended
E
EU sanctions on Iran by September 30?

Yes

$114k Vol.
$0 Liq.
77
Ended
W
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by August 31?

No

$173k Vol.
$0 Liq.
13
Ended
W
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia by August 15?

Yes

$39k Vol.
$0 Liq.
7
Ended
M
More EU sanctions on Russia by August 31?

No

$33k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
W
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?

No

$687k Vol.
$0 Liq.
587
Ended