Toll Predictions & Odds· 412 markets
W
What Iranian demands will Trump agree to in April?
$351k Vol.🔥$106k today$90k Liq.14Ends in 16 days
21%
Oil Sanction Relief
$351k Vol.
$90k Liq.
🔥$106k today
14
Ends in 16 days
M
44%
Munetaka Murakami
$426 Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 8 months
W
76%
↓ 0.0014
$100k Vol.
$16k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
W
16%
↑ $4
$615k Vol.
$50k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8-12?
$154k Vol.$74k Liq.37Ended
74%
10
$154k Vol.
$74k Liq.
37
Ended
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
$648k Vol.$73k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
48%
Yes
$648k Vol.
$73k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
W
86%
China / Xi
$19k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
H
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Apr 6-12)
$208k Vol.$24k Liq.Ended
64%
60+
$208k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ended
A
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?
$98k Vol.$57k Liq.Ends in 16 days
40%
0-10
$98k Vol.
$57k Liq.
Ends in 16 days
A
70%
8-11
$95k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ended
W
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (April 13 - 18)
$107 Vol.$616 Liq.Ends in 4 days
51%
April 15
$107 Vol.
$616 Liq.
Ends in 4 days
M
86%
Liam
$828k Vol.
$49k Liq.
32
Ended
T
41%
Up
$2k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
M
89%
Olivia
$326k Vol.
$45k Liq.
21
Ended
T
44%
39.5–39.9
$5k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
H
68%
39.0%
$3k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 16 days
W
Tech · Culture
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?
$7k Vol.$914 Liq.8Ends in 9 months
41%
Yes
$7k Vol.
$914 Liq.
8
Ends in 9 months
H
How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
$3k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in 9 months
14%
↑ 45%
$3k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
H
40%
35%
$61k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
N
No
$21k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended