Security Predictions & Odds· 877 markets

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$100k Vol.
$12k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$100k Vol.$12k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
12%
Yes

22%
June 30

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$129k Vol.
$15k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$129k Vol.$15k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
16%
Yes

When will the DHS shutdown end?
$525k Vol.
$135k Liq.
🔥$63k today
Ends in about 1 month
$525k Vol.🔥$63k today$135k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
26%
After April 30

When will the DHS shutdown end?
$1.7m Vol.
$78k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours
$1.7m Vol.$78k Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
100%
After March 31

Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?
$81k Vol.
$56k Liq.
1
Ends in about 5 hours
$81k Vol.$56k Liq.1Ends in about 5 hours
8%
Jacky Rosen

1%
Yes

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
$14.7m Vol.
$536k Liq.
🔥$359k today
72
Ends in 9 months
$14.7m Vol.🔥$359k today$536k Liq.72Ends in 9 months
10%
Yes

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
$10.6m Vol.
$2.9m Liq.
🔥$74k today
Ends in about 5 hours
$10.6m Vol.🔥$74k today$2.9m Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
0%
Yes

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?
$3.9m Vol.
$160k Liq.
🔥$60k today
170
Ends in almost 2 years
$3.9m Vol.🔥$60k today$160k Liq.170Ends in almost 2 years
63%
Other

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
$1.9m Vol.
$117k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$1.9m Vol.$117k Liq.Ends in 3 months
4%
Yes

Iran leader end of 2026?
$5.6m Vol.
$830k Liq.
70
Ends in 9 months
$5.6m Vol.$830k Liq.70Ends in 9 months
49%
Mojtaba Khamenei

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
$108k Vol.
$148k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
$108k Vol.$148k Liq.Ends in 6 months
7%
Yes

Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on March 30?
$7k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 1 hour
$7k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in about 1 hour
15%
Up

EWY (EWY) Up or Down on March 30?
$28k Vol.
$7 Liq.
Ends in about 1 hour
$28k Vol.$7 Liq.Ends in about 1 hour
49%
Up

88%
Olivia

Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?
$1.1m Vol.
$19k Liq.
1
Ends in about 5 hours
$1.1m Vol.$19k Liq.1Ends in about 5 hours
0%
Yes

Will Trump declare war on Iran by...?
$556k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours
$556k Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
18%
April 30
