Startups Predictions & Odds· 164 markets
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
$29.5m Vol.
$389k Liq.
🔥$557k today
20,363
Ends in about 9 hours
$29.5m Vol.🔥$557k today$389k Liq.20,363Ends in about 9 hours
0%
Yes
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
$78.6m Vol.
$1.0m Liq.
🔥$315k today
208
Ends in 9 months
$78.6m Vol.🔥$315k today$1.0m Liq.208Ends in 9 months
65%
Delcy Rodríguez
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
$12.4m Vol.
$464k Liq.
🔥$87k today
5,424
Ends in 9 months
$12.4m Vol.🔥$87k today$464k Liq.5,424Ends in 9 months
28%
Yes
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
$1.1m Vol.
$227k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$1.1m Vol.$227k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
3%
Yes
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
$31.0m Vol.
$286k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$31.0m Vol.$286k Liq.Ends in 9 months
9%
Yes
Iran leader end of 2026?
$5.6m Vol.
$841k Liq.
71
Ends in 9 months
$5.6m Vol.$841k Liq.71Ends in 9 months
47%
Mojtaba Khamenei
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
$3.7m Vol.
$317k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$3.7m Vol.$317k Liq.Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?
$126k Vol.
$120k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$126k Vol.$120k Liq.Ends in 9 months
30%
0
34%
Yes
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
$841k Vol.
$91k Liq.
29
Ends in 9 months
$841k Vol.$91k Liq.29Ends in 9 months
15%
Yes
Will Claude go down on __ days in April?
$9k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$9k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
42%
9-11
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?
$143k Vol.
$24k Liq.
18
Ends in 9 months
$143k Vol.$24k Liq.18Ends in 9 months
22%
Yes
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?
$11k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
$11k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 2 months
7%
Yes
Will another country recognize Somaliland by March 31?
$151k Vol.
$10k Liq.
7
Ends in about 9 hours
$151k Vol.$10k Liq.7Ends in about 9 hours
2%
Yes
Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by March 31?
$126k Vol.
$9k Liq.
26
Ends in about 9 hours
$126k Vol.$9k Liq.26Ends in about 9 hours
1%
Yes
ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?
$13k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$13k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
2%
Yes
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
$4k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$4k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 9 months
18%
Yes
Will Trump issue a Gold Card by March 31?
$232k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$232k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
0%
Yes
AWS service disrupted by April 30?
$730 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$730 Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
55%
Yes