Supreme Leader Predictions & Odds· 120 markets
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?
$731k Vol.
$103k Liq.
62
Ends in about 1 month
$731k Vol.$103k Liq.62Ends in about 1 month
8%
June 30
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?
$255k Vol.
$52k Liq.
7
Ends in about 1 month
$255k Vol.$52k Liq.7Ends in about 1 month
8%
June 30
Will Clavicular be Iran's next Supreme Leader by March 31st?
$1.1m Vol.
$401k Liq.
47
Ends in about 13 hours
$1.1m Vol.$401k Liq.47Ends in about 13 hours
0%
Yes
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
$55k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$55k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
$56.4m Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
🔥$2.5m today
2
Ends in about 13 hours
$56.4m Vol.🔥$2.5m today$1.6m Liq.2Ends in about 13 hours
0%
Yes
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
$22.4m Vol.
$781k Liq.
🔥$214k today
3
Ends in 3 months
$22.4m Vol.🔥$214k today$781k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
19%
Yes
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
$12.8m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
🔥$136k today
Ends in about 1 month
$12.8m Vol.🔥$136k today$1.1m Liq.Ends in about 1 month
7%
Yes
Iran leadership change by...?
$5.2m Vol.
$209k Liq.
🔥$118k today
885
Ends in 9 months
$5.2m Vol.🔥$118k today$209k Liq.885Ends in 9 months
53%
December 31
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
$12.1m Vol.
$314k Liq.
🔥$107k today
10
Ends in 9 months
$12.1m Vol.🔥$107k today$314k Liq.10Ends in 9 months
35%
Yes
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
$702k Vol.
$46k Liq.
117
Ends in about 1 month
$702k Vol.$46k Liq.117Ends in about 1 month
38%
May 31
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
$405k Vol.
$41k Liq.
50
Ends in 3 months
$405k Vol.$41k Liq.50Ends in 3 months
81%
Yes
Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...?
$2k Vol.
$489 Liq.
39
Ends in about 13 hours
$2k Vol.$489 Liq.39Ends in about 13 hours
35%
March 30
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
$28k Vol.
$12k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$28k Vol.$12k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
34%
Leadership Change
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$96k Vol.
$47k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$96k Vol.$47k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
49%
US x Iran Ceasefire
Iran leader end of 2026?
$5.6m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
71
Ends in 9 months
$5.6m Vol.$1.1m Liq.71Ends in 9 months
45%
Mojtaba Khamenei
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
$466k Vol.
$78k Liq.
26
Ends in 9 months
$466k Vol.$78k Liq.26Ends in 9 months
15%
Yes
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain?
$115k Vol.
$11k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$115k Vol.$11k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
13%
Yes
Geopolitics · World
Next leader out of power before 2027?
$3.4m Vol.
$507k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3.4m Vol.$507k Liq.Ends in 9 months
60%
Orbán - Hungary PM
Geopolitics · World
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
$1.7m Vol.
$84k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$1.7m Vol.$84k Liq.Ends in 3 months
3%
Yes
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
$841k Vol.
$92k Liq.
29
Ends in 9 months
$841k Vol.$92k Liq.29Ends in 9 months
15%
Yes