Supreme Leader Predictions & Odds· 120 markets
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?
$731k Vol.
$87k Liq.
61
Ends in about 1 month
$731k Vol.$87k Liq.61Ends in about 1 month
8%
June 30
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?
$256k Vol.
$49k Liq.
7
Ends in about 1 month
$256k Vol.$49k Liq.7Ends in about 1 month
8%
June 30
Will Clavicular be Iran's next Supreme Leader by March 31st?
$1.1m Vol.
$401k Liq.
47
Ends in about 9 hours
$1.1m Vol.$401k Liq.47Ends in about 9 hours
0%
Yes
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
$55k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$55k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
$58.2m Vol.
$2.5m Liq.
🔥$4.1m today
2
Ends in about 9 hours
$58.2m Vol.🔥$4.1m today$2.5m Liq.2Ends in about 9 hours
0%
Yes
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
$22.8m Vol.
$1.4m Liq.
🔥$510k today
3
Ends in 3 months
$22.8m Vol.🔥$510k today$1.4m Liq.3Ends in 3 months
17%
Yes
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
$13.0m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
🔥$287k today
Ends in about 1 month
$13.0m Vol.🔥$287k today$1.3m Liq.Ends in about 1 month
7%
Yes
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
$12.2m Vol.
$253k Liq.
🔥$184k today
10
Ends in 9 months
$12.2m Vol.🔥$184k today$253k Liq.10Ends in 9 months
33%
Yes
Iran leadership change by...?
$5.3m Vol.
$218k Liq.
🔥$135k today
887
Ends in 9 months
$5.3m Vol.🔥$135k today$218k Liq.887Ends in 9 months
50%
December 31
Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...?
$24k Vol.
$102 Liq.
43
Ends in about 9 hours
$24k Vol.$102 Liq.43Ends in about 9 hours
46%
Yes
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
$702k Vol.
$45k Liq.
117
Ends in about 1 month
$702k Vol.$45k Liq.117Ends in about 1 month
38%
May 31
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
$413k Vol.
$30k Liq.
50
Ends in 3 months
$413k Vol.$30k Liq.50Ends in 3 months
84%
Yes
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
$28k Vol.
$12k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$28k Vol.$12k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
34%
Leadership Change
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$97k Vol.
$33k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$97k Vol.$33k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
50%
US x Iran Ceasefire
Iran leader end of 2026?
$5.6m Vol.
$795k Liq.
71
Ends in 9 months
$5.6m Vol.$795k Liq.71Ends in 9 months
48%
Mojtaba Khamenei
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
$466k Vol.
$46k Liq.
26
Ends in 9 months
$466k Vol.$46k Liq.26Ends in 9 months
15%
Yes
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain?
$115k Vol.
$11k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$115k Vol.$11k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
13%
Yes
Geopolitics · World
Next leader out of power before 2027?
$3.4m Vol.
$365k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3.4m Vol.$365k Liq.Ends in 9 months
60%
Orbán - Hungary PM
Geopolitics · World
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
$1.7m Vol.
$67k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$1.7m Vol.$67k Liq.Ends in 3 months
3%
Yes
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
$841k Vol.
$90k Liq.
29
Ends in 9 months
$841k Vol.$90k Liq.29Ends in 9 months
15%
Yes