Trade Deal Predictions & Odds· 106 markets
T
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?
$30k Vol.
$13k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$30k Vol.$13k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
1
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?
$39k Vol.
$20k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$39k Vol.$20k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
5%
Yes
W
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
$187k Vol.
$198k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$187k Vol.$198k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
25%
India
W
Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?
$2k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$2k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 9 months
12%
Yes
U
US x Cuba economic deal by...?
$84k Vol.
$26k Liq.
16
Ends in 3 months
$84k Vol.$26k Liq.16Ends in 3 months
38%
June 30
U
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
$67k Vol.
$13k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
$67k Vol.$13k Liq.7Ends in 3 months
50%
Yes
W
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
$530k Vol.
$45k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$530k Vol.$45k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
20%
Yes
W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$30k Vol.
$22k Liq.
4
Ends in 30 days
$30k Vol.$22k Liq.4Ends in 30 days
39%
April 30
U
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?
$582k Vol.
$9k Liq.
38
Ends in 3 months
$582k Vol.$9k Liq.38Ends in 3 months
13%
Yes
M
45%
Yes
I
16%
June 30
W
31%
Isfahan nuclear facility
U
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
$132k Vol.
$37k Liq.
1
Ends in 30 days
$132k Vol.$37k Liq.1Ends in 30 days
14%
Yes
I
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?
$389k Vol.
$43k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$389k Vol.$43k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
39%
June 30
U
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
$448k Vol.
$39k Liq.
32
Ends in 9 months
$448k Vol.$39k Liq.32Ends in 9 months
49%
Yes
W
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?
$51k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$51k Vol.$20k Liq.Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
R
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
$384k Vol.
$45k Liq.
16
Ends in 9 months
$384k Vol.$45k Liq.16Ends in 9 months
17%
Yes
W
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
$328k Vol.
$15k Liq.
36
Ends in 3 months
$328k Vol.$15k Liq.36Ends in 3 months
49%
Yes
U
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
$921k Vol.
$28k Liq.
28
Ends in 3 months
$921k Vol.$28k Liq.28Ends in 3 months
34%
Yes