Treasury Predictions & Odds· 122 markets

H
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

$167k Vol.
$30k Liq.
12
Ends in 9 months

86%

4.5%

W
Will the 10-year treasury hit __ in April?

Will the 10-year treasury hit __ in April?

$20 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 27 days

67%

↑4.35%

H
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

$180k Vol.
$16k Liq.
8
Ends in 9 months

65%

3.9%

U
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

$0 Vol.
$230 Liq.
32
Ends in 3 months

40%

Yes

W
Will SOFR hit __ in April?

Will SOFR hit __ in April?

$2k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 27 days

100%

↓3.66%

W
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

$329k Vol.
$17k Liq.
36
Ends in 3 months

47%

Yes

U
US defaults on debt by 2027?

Politics · Economy

US defaults on debt by 2027?

$15k Vol.
$26k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

5%

Yes

P
Peak US National Debt before 2027?

Politics · Economy

Peak US National Debt before 2027?

$9k Vol.
$21k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

95%

$40 trillion

W
Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027?

Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027?

$359 Vol.
$1k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

19%

Yes

U
US currency with Trump signature issued by April 30, 2026?

US currency with Trump signature issued by April 30, 2026?

$1k Vol.
$7k Liq.
1
Ends in 27 days

6%

Yes

M
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

Economy

Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months

24%

Yes

W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

$51k Vol.
$8k Liq.
14
Ends in 27 days

18%

Yes

W
What price will Ethereum hit March 30-April 5?

What price will Ethereum hit March 30-April 5?

$415k Vol.
$597k Liq.
🔥$128k today
Ends in 3 days

13%

↓ 1,900

W
What will the Ethereum implied volatility Index hit by April 30?

What will the Ethereum implied volatility Index hit by April 30?

$198k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 28 days

62%

↑ 85

N
NCAA Tournament: Number of Rothstein “This is March” tweets

NCAA Tournament: Number of Rothstein “This is March” tweets

$29k Vol.
$1k Liq.
4
Ends in 4 days

26%

71–80

B
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

$178k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Up

B
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

$147k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Down

B
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

$168k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Down

B
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

$125k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Down