United Nations Predictions & Odds· 124 markets
48%
Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
$14.7m Vol.
$536k Liq.
🔥$359k today
72
Ends in 9 months
$14.7m Vol.🔥$359k today$536k Liq.72Ends in 9 months
10%
Yes
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
$1.9m Vol.
$103k Liq.
🔥$73k today
1
Ends in 3 months
$1.9m Vol.🔥$73k today$103k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
4%
Yes
Iran leader end of 2026?
$5.6m Vol.
$803k Liq.
71
Ends in 9 months
$5.6m Vol.$803k Liq.71Ends in 9 months
55%
Mojtaba Khamenei
0%
Yes
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
$845k Vol.
$87k Liq.
30
Ends in 9 months
$845k Vol.$87k Liq.30Ends in 9 months
15%
Yes
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
$2.5m Vol.
$177k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$2.5m Vol.$177k Liq.Ends in 9 months
59%
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
$154k Vol.
$199k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
$154k Vol.$199k Liq.Ends in over 1 year
21%
Yes
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
$109k Vol.
$148k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
$109k Vol.$148k Liq.Ends in 6 months
7%
Yes
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
$89k Vol.
$15k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$89k Vol.$15k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
28%
Yes
North Korea missile test/launch by April 15?
$1k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
$1k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 15 days
53%
Yes
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
$16k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$16k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes
What will Bitcoin outperform in April?
$10k Vol.
$59k Liq.
Ends in 30 days
$10k Vol.$59k Liq.Ends in 30 days
57%
NVIDIA (NVDA)
What will NYSE Composite (NYA) hit in March?
$23k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$23k Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in 1 day
27%
↓ 17800
What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in April 2026?
$5 Vol.
$108 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$5 Vol.$108 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
70%
↑ $3.00
9%
Yes
1%
↓ 20700
Will a new country buy Bitcoin by...?
$29k Vol.
$3k Liq.
24
Ends in 9 months
$29k Vol.$3k Liq.24Ends in 9 months
62%
December 31, 2026