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Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

Politics·United Nations

Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

$365 Vol.
$3k Liq.
3
Ended

48%

Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Politics·Foreign Policy

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

$14.7m Vol.
$536k Liq.
🔥$359k today
71
Ends in 9 months

10%

Yes

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Politics·Cabinet

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

$2.5m Vol.
$326k Liq.
🔥$254k today
Ends in 9 months

57%

Lori Chavez-DeRemer

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

Geopolitics·Foreign Policy

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

$10.6m Vol.
$3.9m Liq.
🔥$110k today
Ends in about 11 hours

0%

Yes

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

World·China

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

$1.9m Vol.
$96k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

4%

Yes

Iran leader end of 2026?

World·Middle East

Iran leader end of 2026?

$5.6m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
71
Ends in 9 months

44%

Mojtaba Khamenei

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

World·China

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

$107k Vol.
$184k Liq.
Ends in 6 months

7%

Yes

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Politics·China

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

$153k Vol.
$217k Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years

21%

Yes

North Korea missile test/launch by March 31?

Politics·North Korea

North Korea missile test/launch by March 31?

$26k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours

3%

Yes

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Geopolitics·Iran

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

$841k Vol.
$91k Liq.
29
Ends in 9 months

15%

Yes

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

Geopolitics·Nuclear

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

$88k Vol.
$12k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

33%

Yes

Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

World·North Korea

Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

$16k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

8%

Yes

North Korea missile test/launch by April 15?

Geopolitics·North Korea

North Korea missile test/launch by April 15?

$1k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 15 days

53%

Yes

What will Bitcoin outperform in April?

Finance·S&P 500

What will Bitcoin outperform in April?

$7k Vol.
$59k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

56%

S&P 500

What will NYSE Composite (NYA) hit in March?

Finance·Monthly

What will NYSE Composite (NYA) hit in March?

$23k Vol.
$827 Liq.
Ends in 1 day

47%

↓ 18600

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in April 2026?

Finance·Monthly

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in April 2026?

$5 Vol.
$159 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

82%

↑ $3.00

New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?

Climate & Science·disease

New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?

$8k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

8%

Yes

What will Hang Seng (HSI) hit in March?

Finance·Indicies

What will Hang Seng (HSI) hit in March?

$48k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 1 day

2%

↓ 20100

New pandemic in 2026?

World·Science

New pandemic in 2026?

$197k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

12%

Yes

Will a new country buy Bitcoin by...?

Crypto·Bitcoin

Will a new country buy Bitcoin by...?

$7k Vol.
$3k Liq.
24
Ends in 9 months

59%

December 31, 2026