Uptspt Secretary Of Labor Predictions & Odds· 104 markets

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Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

$933 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

21%

Yes

W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

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$162k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

45%

Pam Bondi

R
RFK Jr. Out by December 31?

RFK Jr. Out by December 31?

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$13k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

23%

Yes

U
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?

US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?

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$19k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

35%

Yes

M
March Unemployment Rate

March Unemployment Rate

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🔥$114k today
Ends in about 13 hours

42%

4.4%

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How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

$344k Vol.
$29k Liq.
21
Ends in 9 months

60%

5.0%

K
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

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$13k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months

6%

Yes

H
How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?

How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?

$4 Vol.
$649 Liq.
Ends in 28 days

43%

30 - 35 minutes

W
What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?

What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?

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Ends in 28 days

75%

President 50+ times

T
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

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87%

Up

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Who will be the next U.S. Secretary of Labor?

Tim Ryan

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Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

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1,045
Ended

Pam Bondi

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Which Senators will vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer?

John Curtis

W
Who will Trump pick for Labor Secretary?

Who will Trump pick for Labor Secretary?

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Ended

Lori Chavez-DeRemer

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Will EJ Antoni be confirmed as BLS Commissioner in 2025?

Will EJ Antoni be confirmed as BLS Commissioner in 2025?

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3
Ended

No

W
Who will Trump pick for Treasury Secretary?

Who will Trump pick for Treasury Secretary?

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1
Ended

Scott Bessent

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Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 9 months

Kristi Noem

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Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?

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Ends in 9 months

Stephen Miran