US Politics Predictions & Odds· 429 markets
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?
$1.8m Vol.
$166k Liq.
37
Ends in about 1 month
$1.8m Vol.$166k Liq.37Ends in about 1 month
2%
May 14
Will the next elected US president be a woman?
$0 Vol.
$42k Liq.
2
Ends in over 2 years
$0 Vol.$42k Liq.2Ends in over 2 years
20%
Yes
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
$210k Vol.
$29k Liq.
11
Ends in 7 months
$210k Vol.$29k Liq.11Ends in 7 months
83%
Shutdown & Democratic Party
Presidential Election Winner 2028
$474.8m Vol.
$29.8m Liq.
🔥$6.0m today
803
Ends in over 2 years
$474.8m Vol.🔥$6.0m today$29.8m Liq.803Ends in over 2 years
18%
JD Vance
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
$4.9m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
🔥$143k today
Ends in 9 months
$4.9m Vol.🔥$143k today$1.3m Liq.Ends in 9 months
10%
December 31
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
$1.6m Vol.
$829k Liq.
64
Ends in over 2 years
$1.6m Vol.$829k Liq.64Ends in over 2 years
59%
Democratic
US x Russia military clash by...?
$583k Vol.
$25k Liq.
16
Ends in 9 months
$583k Vol.$25k Liq.16Ends in 9 months
10%
December 31, 2026
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?
$7.9m Vol.
$360k Liq.
🔥$341k today
158
Ends in 3 months
$7.9m Vol.🔥$341k today$360k Liq.158Ends in 3 months
67%
June 30
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
$1.3m Vol.
$335k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$1.3m Vol.$335k Liq.Ends in 7 months
52%
Democratic Party
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
$4.2m Vol.
$517k Liq.
138
Ends in 7 months
$4.2m Vol.$517k Liq.138Ends in 7 months
50%
Democrats Sweep
Republican 2026 House odds hit___ by March 31?
$293k Vol.
$78k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$293k Vol.$78k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
2%
↓ 10%
27%
≤47
Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
$198k Vol.
$120k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
$198k Vol.$120k Liq.1Ends in 7 months
32%
190-194
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?
$94k Vol.
$18k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$94k Vol.$18k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
35%
December 31, 2026
ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?
$360k Vol.
$17k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
$360k Vol.$17k Liq.1Ends in 7 months
83%
Not Extended & Democratic Party
2026 U.S. House election: Republicans flip the Democrats by...?
$55k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$55k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
0%
Yes
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
$28k Vol.
$59k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$28k Vol.$59k Liq.Ends in 7 months
46%
Other
19%
115-120m