Aid Package Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

20%
June 30

45%
Yes

17%
Isfahan nuclear facility

83%
April 30

US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?
$232k Vol.
$14k Liq.
10
Ends in about 1 month
$232k Vol.$14k Liq.10Ends in about 1 month
8%
April 30

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$129k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$129k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in 3 months
16%
Yes

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$100k Vol.
$12k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$100k Vol.$12k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
12%
Yes

Zelenskyy # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$3k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$3k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 4 days
41%
40-59

Zelenskyy # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$18k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$18k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 1 day
90%
60-79

US announces military support of Kurds by...?
$482k Vol.
$10k Liq.
40
Ends in about 1 month
$482k Vol.$10k Liq.40Ends in about 1 month
20%
April 30

What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?
$210 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$210 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
82%
TSA

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
$14.0m Vol.
$444k Liq.
254
Ends in 3 months
$14.0m Vol.$444k Liq.254Ends in 3 months
43%
>$600M

Zelenskyy # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$578 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$578 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 8 days
50%
60-79

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
$328k Vol.
$16k Liq.
36
Ends in 3 months
$328k Vol.$16k Liq.36Ends in 3 months
49%
Yes

What will Bitcoin outperform in March?
$93k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$93k Vol.$31k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
99%
Gold

How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?
$475 Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$475 Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
44%
<15 minutes

Pakistan military action against Kabul by...?
$20k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
$20k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 15 days
51%
April 15

10%
December 31, 2026

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 27?
$15k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ended
$15k Vol.$6k Liq.Ended
4%
Yes
