Aid Package Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

$2.7m Vol.
$19k Liq.
393
Ended

20%

June 30

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

$2.0m Vol.
$11k Liq.
107
Ends in 3 months

45%

Yes

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

$432k Vol.
$4k Liq.
27

39%

Yes

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

$374k Vol.
$18k Liq.
62

17%

Isfahan nuclear facility

NASA Artemis II

NASA Artemis II

$699k Vol.
$26k Liq.
94
Ends in about 9 hours

83%

April 30

US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?

US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?

$232k Vol.
$14k Liq.
10
Ends in about 1 month

8%

April 30

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

$129k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

16%

Yes

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

$100k Vol.
$12k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months

12%

Yes

Zelenskyy # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

$3k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 4 days

41%

40-59

Zelenskyy # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?

$18k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 1 day

90%

60-79

US announces military support of Kurds by...?

US announces military support of Kurds by...?

$482k Vol.
$10k Liq.
40
Ends in about 1 month

20%

April 30

What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?

What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?

$210 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours

82%

TSA

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

$14.0m Vol.
$444k Liq.
254
Ends in 3 months

43%

>$600M

Zelenskyy # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

$578 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 8 days

50%

60-79

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

$328k Vol.
$16k Liq.
36
Ends in 3 months

49%

Yes

What will Bitcoin outperform in March?

What will Bitcoin outperform in March?

$93k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours

99%

Gold

How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?

How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?

$475 Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours

44%

<15 minutes

Pakistan military action against Kabul by...?

Pakistan military action against Kabul by...?

$20k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 15 days

51%

April 15

Pump.fun airdrop by ....?

Pump.fun airdrop by ....?

$2.7m Vol.
$6k Liq.
262
Ended

10%

December 31, 2026