Aid Package Predictions & Odds· 102 markets
20%
June 30
47%
Yes
17%
Isfahan nuclear facility
NASA Artemis II
$699k Vol.
$25k Liq.
94
Ends in about 11 hours
$699k Vol.$25k Liq.94Ends in about 11 hours
83%
April 30
US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?
$232k Vol.
$15k Liq.
10
Ends in about 1 month
$232k Vol.$15k Liq.10Ends in about 1 month
8%
April 30
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$16k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$16k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$129k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$129k Vol.$21k Liq.Ends in 3 months
16%
Yes
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$99k Vol.
$11k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$99k Vol.$11k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
12%
Yes
US announces military support of Kurds by...?
$482k Vol.
$10k Liq.
40
Ends in about 1 month
$482k Vol.$10k Liq.40Ends in about 1 month
14%
April 30
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
$14.0m Vol.
$435k Liq.
254
Ends in 3 months
$14.0m Vol.$435k Liq.254Ends in 3 months
43%
>$600M
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
$327k Vol.
$16k Liq.
36
Ends in 3 months
$327k Vol.$16k Liq.36Ends in 3 months
49%
Yes
"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?
$3k Vol.
$15k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$3k Vol.$15k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
69%
Not revealed in 2026
Pakistan military action against Kabul by...?
$20k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
$20k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 15 days
51%
April 15
Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
$12k Vol.
$54k Liq.
Ends in 19 days
$12k Vol.$54k Liq.Ends in 19 days
67%
PP–DB
10%
December 31, 2026
61%
April 30
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 27?
$15k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ended
$15k Vol.$5k Liq.Ended
4%
Yes
How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?
$152 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$152 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
55%
<15 minutes
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
$100k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$100k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
28%
Yes