American Fiction Predictions & Odds· 102 markets
T
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___?
$103k Vol.
$8k Liq.
24
Ended
$103k Vol.$8k Liq.24Ended
4%
Yes
W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$43k Vol.
$12k Liq.
13
Ends in 28 days
$43k Vol.$12k Liq.13Ends in 28 days
18%
April 30
W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?
$539k Vol.
$20k Liq.
🔥$128k today
173
$539k Vol.🔥$128k today$20k Liq.173
16%
Yes
H
Highest grossing movie this weekend (April 3)
$28k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 12 hours
$28k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in about 12 hours
100%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
H
H.R. 7296 (SAVE America Act) becomes law by...?
$55k Vol.
$83k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$55k Vol.$83k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
10%
June 30
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
$2k Vol.
$10k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$2k Vol.$10k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
92%
Yes
J
Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?
$48k Vol.
$12k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$48k Vol.$12k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
15%
Yes
S
22%
December 31
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
$0 Vol.
$7k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$7k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
85%
Yes
A
Any of the stolen paintings recovered by April 15?
$428 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 13 days
$428 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 13 days
9%
Yes
A
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
$28k Vol.
$8k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$28k Vol.$8k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
12%
Yes
U
US x China Military clash before 2027?
$54k Vol.
$21k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$54k Vol.$21k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
7%
Yes
U
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?
$26k Vol.
$24k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$26k Vol.$24k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
5%
Yes
S
SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?
$65k Vol.
$77k Liq.
Ends in 5 months
$65k Vol.$77k Liq.Ends in 5 months
97%
Yes
W
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$103k Vol.
$43k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$103k Vol.$43k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
54%
US x Iran Ceasefire
R
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
$59k Vol.
$17k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months
$59k Vol.$17k Liq.4Ends in 7 months
3%
Yes
B
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
$4.3m Vol.
$481k Liq.
146
Ends in 7 months
$4.3m Vol.$481k Liq.146Ends in 7 months
51%
Democrats Sweep
M
American League · Sports
MLB: 2026 American League Champion
$3.3m Vol.
$206k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$3.3m Vol.$206k Liq.Ends in 7 months
20%
New York Yankees
M
51%
Yes
W
Games · Cricket
Women's T20 World Cup Qualifier: Ireland Women vs USA Women - Team Top Batter
$66 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$66 Vol.$0 Liq.Ended