American Politics Predictions & Odds· 104 markets
W
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
$196k Vol.
$36k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$196k Vol.$36k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes
S
SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?
$89k Vol.
$70k Liq.
Ends in 5 months
$89k Vol.$70k Liq.Ends in 5 months
94%
Yes
T
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___?
$104k Vol.
$7k Liq.
24
Ended
$104k Vol.$7k Liq.24Ended
4%
Yes
W
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
$1.6m Vol.
$770k Liq.
63
Ends in over 2 years
$1.6m Vol.$770k Liq.63Ends in over 2 years
60%
Democratic
B
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
$4.4m Vol.
$479k Liq.
150
Ends in 7 months
$4.4m Vol.$479k Liq.150Ends in 7 months
51%
Democrats Sweep
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
$0 Vol.
$7k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$7k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
86%
Yes
R
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
$59k Vol.
$16k Liq.
6
Ends in 7 months
$59k Vol.$16k Liq.6Ends in 7 months
3%
Yes
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
$2k Vol.
$10k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$2k Vol.$10k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
92%
Yes
W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?
$698k Vol.
$21k Liq.
🔥$163k today
238
$698k Vol.🔥$163k today$21k Liq.238
96%
Yes
R
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
$2.1m Vol.
$183k Liq.
10
$2.1m Vol.$183k Liq.10
27%
≤47
W
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
$1.4m Vol.
$363k Liq.
8
Ends in 7 months
$1.4m Vol.$363k Liq.8Ends in 7 months
52%
Democratic Party
U
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
$81k Vol.
$19k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$81k Vol.$19k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
45%
Yes
R
Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
$198k Vol.
$80k Liq.
6
Ends in 7 months
$198k Vol.$80k Liq.6Ends in 7 months
35%
Below 190
A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
$313k Vol.
$24k Liq.
11
Ends in 7 months
$313k Vol.$24k Liq.11Ends in 7 months
83%
Shutdown & Democratic Party
W
Will the next elected US president be a woman?
$10k Vol.
$35k Liq.
2
Ends in over 2 years
$10k Vol.$35k Liq.2Ends in over 2 years
20%
Yes
W
White House # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?
$13k Vol.
$50k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
$13k Vol.$50k Liq.Ends in 7 days
35%
180-199
D
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$972.3m Vol.
$42.3m Liq.
🔥$8.3m today
628
Ends in over 2 years
$972.3m Vol.🔥$8.3m today$42.3m Liq.628Ends in over 2 years
25%
Gavin Newsom
A
67%
Republican Party
W
White House # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$42k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$42k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 4 days
69%
200+
2
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
$28k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$28k Vol.$33k Liq.Ends in 7 months
46%
Other