Board Appointments Predictions & Odds· 103 markets
W
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
$17.9m Vol.
$1.8m Liq.
🔥$1.0m today
74
Ends in 7 months
$17.9m Vol.🔥$1.0m today$1.8m Liq.74Ends in 7 months
96%
Kevin Warsh
W
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$103k Vol.
$44k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$103k Vol.$44k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
54%
US x Iran Ceasefire
K
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?
$438k Vol.
$33k Liq.
11
Ends in about 1 month
$438k Vol.$33k Liq.11Ends in about 1 month
51%
May 15
J
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
$118k Vol.
$18k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$118k Vol.$18k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
70%
December 31
W
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?
$7k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$7k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes
W
Will Condoleezza Rice join the Trump administration by April 30?
$2k Vol.
$327 Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$2k Vol.$327 Liq.Ends in 28 days
3%
Yes
W
Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?
$156 Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$156 Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 3 months
28%
Yes
N
Geopolitics · World
Next leader out of power before 2027?
$3.5m Vol.
$390k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3.5m Vol.$390k Liq.Ends in 9 months
64%
Orbán - Hungary PM
J
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by March 31?
$0 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ended
$0 Vol.$3k Liq.Ended
53%
>5%
K
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?
$66k Vol.
$33k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
$66k Vol.$33k Liq.1Ends in about 1 month
2%
Yes
W
Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?
$72k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$72k Vol.$24k Liq.Ends in 3 months
96%
Kevin Cramer
H
How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?
$41k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$41k Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in 9 months
35%
60+
A
3%
Yes
N
EPL · Soccer
Next Manchester United manager?
$448k Vol.
$33k Liq.
218
Ends in 9 months
$448k Vol.$33k Liq.218Ends in 9 months
65%
Michael Carrick
J
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?
$1.9m Vol.
$41k Liq.
37
Ends in about 1 month
$1.9m Vol.$41k Liq.37Ends in about 1 month
1%
Yes
F
84%
Pause–Pause–Pause
B
75%
Decrease
K
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?
$17k Vol.
$12k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$17k Vol.$12k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
6%
Yes
R
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in May?
$22k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$22k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
60%
Increase