Board Appointments Predictions & Odds· 103 markets
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
$15.7m Vol.
$1.9m Liq.
🔥$291k today
71
Ends in 7 months
$15.7m Vol.🔥$291k today$1.9m Liq.71Ends in 7 months
95%
Kevin Warsh
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?
$435k Vol.
$34k Liq.
11
Ends in about 2 months
$435k Vol.$34k Liq.11Ends in about 2 months
53%
May 15
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$97k Vol.
$42k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$97k Vol.$42k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
50%
US x Iran Ceasefire
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?
$7k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$7k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes
Will Condoleezza Rice join the Trump administration by April 30?
$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$2k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
2%
Yes
Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?
$3.4m Vol.
$147k Liq.
132
Ends in about 8 hours
$3.4m Vol.$147k Liq.132Ends in about 8 hours
2%
India
Geopolitics · World
Next leader out of power before 2027?
$3.4m Vol.
$450k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3.4m Vol.$450k Liq.Ends in 9 months
60%
Orbán - Hungary PM
Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition
$145k Vol.
$12k Liq.
2
Ends in about 8 hours
$145k Vol.$12k Liq.2Ends in about 8 hours
100%
Yes
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by March 31?
$0 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours
$0 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in about 8 hours
53%
>5%
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?
$65k Vol.
$32k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months
$65k Vol.$32k Liq.1Ends in about 2 months
3%
Yes
Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?
$72k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$72k Vol.$31k Liq.Ends in 3 months
94%
Thom Tillis
How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?
$211 Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$211 Vol.$20k Liq.Ends in 9 months
34%
54
3%
Yes
83%
Pause–Pause–Pause
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?
$17k Vol.
$15k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$17k Vol.$15k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
5%
Yes
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in May?
$21k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$21k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
62%
Increase
79%
Pause–Pause–Pause
Parlays · Hide From New
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair
$65k Vol.
$50k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$65k Vol.$50k Liq.Ends in 9 months
80%
Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%
97%
Pause–Pause–Pause