Campaign Promises Predictions & Odds· 168 markets
P
Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
$8k Vol.
$61k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
$8k Vol.$61k Liq.Ends in 10 days
47%
Keiko Fujimori 5%+
W
Will Ken Paxton drop out?
$5k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$5k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
4%
Yes
W
West Bengal Legislative Assembly Election Winner
$146k Vol.
$74k Liq.
12
Ends in 27 days
$146k Vol.$74k Liq.12Ends in 27 days
82%
AITC
M
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?
$213k Vol.
$18k Liq.
62
Ends in 3 months
$213k Vol.$18k Liq.62Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes
W
cs2 · counter strike 2
Will Valve add first CS2 operation by April 1, 2026?
$4k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ended
$4k Vol.$3k Liq.1Ended
0%
Yes
A
Assam Legislative Assembly Election Winner
$11k Vol.
$61k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 days
$11k Vol.$61k Liq.1Ends in 7 days
94%
BJP
T
Trump imposes 40% tariff on China in first 100 days?
$1.1m Vol.
$0 Liq.
45
Ended
$1.1m Vol.$0 Liq.45Ended
Yes
W
Ross Ulbricht
H
How many Jan 6th protestors will Trump pardon in his first 100 days?
$8.2m Vol.
$0 Liq.
102
Ended
$8.2m Vol.$0 Liq.102Ended
1,250-1,499
W
Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?
$2.8m Vol.
$0 Liq.
872
Ended
$2.8m Vol.$0 Liq.872Ended
No
T
Yes
W
Will Trump end Department of Education in first 100 days?
$1.8m Vol.
$0 Liq.
84
Ended
$1.8m Vol.$0 Liq.84Ended
No
T
Trump opens Arctic Wildlife Refuge for drilling in first 100 days?
$16k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
$16k Vol.$0 Liq.2Ended
Yes
T
Yes