Chair Of The Federal Reserve Predictions & Odds· 145 markets
T
Trump · Fed Rates
Trump drops Powell investigation by…?
$8k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$8k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 3 months
73%
June 30
K
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?
$66k Vol.
$33k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
$66k Vol.$33k Liq.1Ends in about 1 month
2%
Yes
W
Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?
$72k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$72k Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in 3 months
95%
Kevin Cramer
W
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
$18.7m Vol.
$1.8m Liq.
🔥$1.1m today
73
Ends in 7 months
$18.7m Vol.🔥$1.1m today$1.8m Liq.73Ends in 7 months
97%
Kevin Warsh
K
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?
$441k Vol.
$24k Liq.
11
Ends in about 1 month
$441k Vol.$24k Liq.11Ends in about 1 month
53%
May 15
W
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$105k Vol.
$49k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$105k Vol.$49k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
54%
US x Iran Ceasefire
P
Parlays · Hide From New
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair
$107k Vol.
$48k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$107k Vol.$48k Liq.Ends in 9 months
74%
Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%
H
How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?
$62k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$62k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 9 months
33%
51
J
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
$118k Vol.
$13k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$118k Vol.$13k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
69%
December 31
J
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?
$1.9m Vol.
$35k Liq.
37
Ends in about 1 month
$1.9m Vol.$35k Liq.37Ends in about 1 month
1%
Yes
J
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by March 31?
$0 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ended
$0 Vol.$3k Liq.Ended
53%
>5%
F
88%
Pause–Pause–Pause
F
98%
Pause–Pause–Pause
F
Fed Decision in June?
$5.3m Vol.
$950k Liq.
🔥$99k today
23
Ends in 2 months
$5.3m Vol.🔥$99k today$950k Liq.23Ends in 2 months
91%
No change
W
Trump Presidency · Trump
Who will Trump announce as next Fed Chair in 2025?
$11.6m Vol.
$0 Liq.
90
Ended
$11.6m Vol.$0 Liq.90Ended
No announcement by December 31
T
Trump · Fed Rates
Trump drops Powell investigation by February 28?
$105k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6
Ended
$105k Vol.$0 Liq.6Ended
No
W
Elise Stefanik (UN Ambassador)
W
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
$617.3m Vol.
$5k Liq.
2,003
Ends in 9 months
$617.3m Vol.$5k Liq.2,003Ends in 9 months
Kevin Warsh
K
March 31