Chair Of The Federal Reserve Predictions & Odds· 137 markets
Trump · Fed Rates
Trump drops Powell investigation by…?
$4k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$4k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 3 months
62%
June 30
Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?
$72k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$72k Vol.$21k Liq.Ends in 3 months
94%
Thom Tillis
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?
$65k Vol.
$31k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months
$65k Vol.$31k Liq.1Ends in about 2 months
3%
Yes
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
$15.7m Vol.
$1.8m Liq.
🔥$294k today
72
Ends in 7 months
$15.7m Vol.🔥$294k today$1.8m Liq.72Ends in 7 months
95%
Kevin Warsh
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?
$435k Vol.
$24k Liq.
11
Ends in about 2 months
$435k Vol.$24k Liq.11Ends in about 2 months
53%
May 15
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$97k Vol.
$34k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$97k Vol.$34k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
50%
US x Iran Ceasefire
Parlays · Hide From New
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair
$65k Vol.
$42k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$65k Vol.$42k Liq.Ends in 9 months
80%
Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%
How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?
$211 Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$211 Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in 9 months
34%
54
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
$117k Vol.
$14k Liq.
8
Ends in 9 months
$117k Vol.$14k Liq.8Ends in 9 months
71%
December 31
Will Trump try to Fire Powell by March 31?
$48k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours
$48k Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in about 8 hours
0%
Yes
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?
$1.8m Vol.
$135k Liq.
36
Ends in about 1 month
$1.8m Vol.$135k Liq.36Ends in about 1 month
2%
May 14
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by March 31?
$0 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours
$0 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in about 8 hours
53%
>5%
Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition
$145k Vol.
$12k Liq.
2
Ends in about 8 hours
$145k Vol.$12k Liq.2Ends in about 8 hours
100%
Yes
83%
Pause–Pause–Pause
97%
Pause–Pause–Pause
How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
$10k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 29 days
$10k Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in 29 days
46%
2
80%
Pause–Pause–Pause
Fed Decision in June?
$4.7m Vol.
$743k Liq.
🔥$239k today
11
Ends in 3 months
$4.7m Vol.🔥$239k today$743k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
88%
No change
Fed Decision in July?
$2.7m Vol.
$239k Liq.
🔥$440k today
Ends in 4 months
$2.7m Vol.🔥$440k today$239k Liq.Ends in 4 months
78%
No change
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
$74k Vol.
$20k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$74k Vol.$20k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes