Change Predictions & Odds· 608 markets
Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?
$0 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 9 months
21%
Yes
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
$28k Vol.
$12k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$28k Vol.$12k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
34%
Leadership Change
Iran leadership change by...?
$5.2m Vol.
$210k Liq.
🔥$121k today
885
Ends in 9 months
$5.2m Vol.🔥$121k today$210k Liq.885Ends in 9 months
53%
December 31
Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?
$293 Vol.
$585 Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$293 Vol.$585 Liq.Ends in 7 months
15%
Yes
Fed decision in April?
$38.5m Vol.
$3.4m Liq.
🔥$1.9m today
18
Ends in 29 days
$38.5m Vol.🔥$1.9m today$3.4m Liq.18Ends in 29 days
97%
No change
Fed Decision in July?
$2.5m Vol.
$252k Liq.
🔥$283k today
Ends in 4 months
$2.5m Vol.🔥$283k today$252k Liq.Ends in 4 months
78%
No change
Fed Decision in June?
$4.6m Vol.
$904k Liq.
🔥$201k today
11
Ends in 3 months
$4.6m Vol.🔥$201k today$904k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
87%
No change
ECB Interest Rates: April 2026
$214k Vol.
$56k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$214k Vol.$56k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
61%
No change
Bank of Brazil Decision in April?
$170k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$170k Vol.$22k Liq.Ends in 28 days
81%
Decrease
96%
No change
Bank of England decision in April?
$200k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$200k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
78%
No change
86%
Decrease
Bank of Japan Decision in April?
$232k Vol.
$67k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$232k Vol.$67k Liq.Ends in 28 days
70%
25 bps increase
Central Bank of Colombia Decision in March?
$163k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$163k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
99%
Increase
99%
No Change
96%
No Change
Bank of Mexico Decision in May
$4k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$4k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
80%
No change
Bank of Korea decision in May?
$10k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$10k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
68%
No Change
Q1 S&P 500 Performance
$352k Vol.
$38k Liq.
1
Ends in about 11 hours
$352k Vol.$38k Liq.1Ends in about 11 hours
100%
<0%
89%
No Change