Change Predictions & Odds· 600 markets

Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?

Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?

$0 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

21%

Yes

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

$28k Vol.
$12k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months

34%

Leadership Change

Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

$5.2m Vol.
$210k Liq.
🔥$118k today
885
Ends in 9 months

53%

December 31

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

$293 Vol.
$410 Liq.
Ends in 7 months

15%

Yes

Fed decision in April?

Fed decision in April?

$38.4m Vol.
$3.0m Liq.
🔥$1.9m today
18
Ends in 30 days

97%

No change

Fed Decision in July?

Fed Decision in July?

$2.4m Vol.
$260k Liq.
🔥$235k today
Ends in 4 months

78%

No change

Fed Decision in June?

Fed Decision in June?

$4.6m Vol.
$919k Liq.
🔥$229k today
11
Ends in 3 months

87%

No change

ECB Interest Rates: April 2026

ECB Interest Rates: April 2026

$214k Vol.
$52k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

61%

No change

Bank of Canada decision in April?

Bank of Canada decision in April?

$65k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 30 days

96%

No change

Bank of England decision in April?

Bank of England decision in April?

$199k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

81%

No change

Bank of Brazil Decision in April?

Bank of Brazil Decision in April?

$167k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 29 days

73%

Decrease

Bank of Russia decision in April?

Bank of Russia decision in April?

$24k Vol.
$46k Liq.
Ends in 25 days

86%

Decrease

Bank of Japan Decision in April?

Bank of Japan Decision in April?

$232k Vol.
$63k Liq.
Ends in 29 days

70%

25 bps increase

Central Bank of Colombia Decision in March?

Central Bank of Colombia Decision in March?

$163k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours

99%

Increase

Bank of Israel Decision in March?

Bank of Israel Decision in March?

$30k Vol.
$4k Liq.
1
Ended

99%

No Change

Q1 S&P 500 Performance

Q1 S&P 500 Performance

$352k Vol.
$38k Liq.
1
Ends in about 13 hours

100%

<0%

Bank of Mexico Decision in May

Bank of Mexico Decision in May

$4k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

81%

No change

Bank of Korea decision in May?

Bank of Korea decision in May?

$10k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months

69%

No Change

Reserve Bank of India decision in April

Reserve Bank of India decision in April

$2k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 9 days

88%

No Change

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in June?

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in June?

$12k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

58%

Increase