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U
US defaults on debt by 2027?

Politics · Economy

US defaults on debt by 2027?

$15k Vol.
$26k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

5%

Yes

P
Peak US National Debt before 2027?

Politics · Economy

Peak US National Debt before 2027?

$9k Vol.
$20k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

94%

$40 trillion

A
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

Economy · Politics

Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

$9k Vol.
$3k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months

28%

Yes

E
EU debt downgrade before 2027?

World · Economy

EU debt downgrade before 2027?

$824 Vol.
$307 Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

29%

Yes

A
Any EU nation's debt downgraded before 2027?

Politics · Economy

Any EU nation's debt downgraded before 2027?

$414 Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

62%

Yes

O
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

Tech·OpenAI

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

$102k Vol.
$9k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months

6%

Yes

N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Geopolitics·Parlays

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

$443k Vol.
$35k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

41%

Yes

F
Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Economy·Fed

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

$717k Vol.
$106k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

84%

Pause–Pause–Pause

W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Geopolitics·Trump

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

$42k Vol.
$11k Liq.
13
Ends in 28 days

25%

April 30

F
Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Economy·Economic Policy

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

$406k Vol.
$101k Liq.
34
Ends in 27 days

98%

Pause–Pause–Pause

F
Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Economy·Fed

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

$2k Vol.
$126k Liq.
Ends in 4 months

76%

Pause–Pause–Pause

W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

Politics·Iran

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

$536k Vol.
$15k Liq.
🔥$130k today
171

15%

Yes

N
Nothing Ever Happens: March

World·Parlays

Nothing Ever Happens: March

$317k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ended

70%

Nothing

A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

Politics·Midterms

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

$254k Vol.
$25k Liq.
11
Ends in 7 months

84%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

W
White House # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?

Politics·Tweet Markets

White House # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?

$10k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 8 days

36%

160-179

W
Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027?

Economy·Trump

Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027?

$357 Vol.
$1k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

20%

Yes

U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

Politics·Trump-Zelenskyy

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

$132k Vol.
$19k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months

11%

Yes

W
Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

World·Xi

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

$94k Vol.
$103k Liq.
14
Ends in 9 months

17%

Dong Jun

N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Geopolitics · World

Next leader out of power before 2027?

$3.5m Vol.
$411k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

64%

Orbán - Hungary PM

W
White House # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

Politics·Tweet Markets

White House # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

$32k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 5 days

48%

200+