Demographic Predictions & Odds· 108 markets
69%
March 31
KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?
$31k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 30 days
$31k Vol.$21k Liq.Ends in 30 days
3%
Yes
Israel military action against Beirut on...?
$33k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 30 days
$33k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in 30 days
70%
April 1
Kurds declare independence from Iran?
$108k Vol.
$16k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$108k Vol.$16k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?
$1k Vol.
$2k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 year
$1k Vol.$2k Liq.3Ends in about 1 year
44%
Yes
Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election (Smaller Brackets)
$97k Vol.
$22k Liq.
57
Ended
$97k Vol.$22k Liq.57Ended
50%
59-60%
68%
55-60%
How many people will Trump deport in 2026?
$19k Vol.
$97k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$19k Vol.$97k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
37%
300-400k
24%
Isfahan nuclear facility
46%
Yes
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
$27k Vol.
$7k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$27k Vol.$7k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
20%
115-120m
Zelenskyy # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$3k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$3k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 4 days
42%
60-79
Zelenskyy # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$635 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$635 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 8 days
48%
60-79
Zelenskyy # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$22k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
$22k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in about 14 hours
79%
60-79
72%
4.0–5.0%
Turnout in 2026 Hungary Parliamentary Election
$85k Vol.
$47k Liq.
1
Ends in 12 days
$85k Vol.$47k Liq.1Ends in 12 days
46%
71–74%
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
$28k Vol.
$42k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$28k Vol.$42k Liq.Ends in 7 months
46%
Other
