Iraq Predictions & Odds· 109 markets
KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?
$31k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$31k Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
3%
Yes
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by...?
$375k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in about 16 hours
$375k Vol.$24k Liq.Ends in about 16 hours
20%
April 30
Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?
$13k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$13k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
Iran military action against ___ by March 31?
$3.6m Vol.
$180k Liq.
🔥$453k today
Ends in about 16 hours
$3.6m Vol.🔥$453k today$180k Liq.Ends in about 16 hours
99%
Bahrain
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
$361k Vol.
$214k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$361k Vol.$214k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
58%
Pakistan
Iran military action against ___ by April 30?
$154k Vol.
$134k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$154k Vol.$134k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
98%
Bahrain
Sports · Soccer
2026 FIFA World Cup: Which countries qualify?
$1.5m Vol.
$144k Liq.
56
Ends in 13 days
$1.5m Vol.$144k Liq.56Ends in 13 days
77%
Italy
Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?
$89k Vol.
$56k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$89k Vol.$56k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
11%
Tunisia
Will Vance visit the Middle East by..?
$97k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$97k Vol.$20k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
22%
April 10
17%
Isfahan nuclear facility
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$15k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$15k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
48%
April 30
47%
Yes
Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?
$9k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$9k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
73%
April 9
Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?
$61k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in about 16 hours
$61k Vol.$29k Liq.Ends in about 16 hours
98%
March 28
Gulf State military action against Iran by...?
$4k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$4k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
28%
April 30
Israel false flag attack confirmed?
$1 Vol.
$141 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$1 Vol.$141 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
50%
Yes
Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$19k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$19k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 4 days
92%
<20
"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?
$3k Vol.
$19k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$3k Vol.$19k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
69%
Not revealed in 2026
Khamenei # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$2k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$2k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 8 days
37%
<5
US announces military support of Kurds by...?
$482k Vol.
$10k Liq.
39
Ends in about 1 month
$482k Vol.$10k Liq.39Ends in about 1 month
20%
April 30