Kurdistan Regional Government Predictions & Odds· 104 markets
KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?
$31k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$31k Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
3%
Yes
Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?
$13k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$13k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
US announces military support of Kurds by...?
$482k Vol.
$10k Liq.
39
Ends in about 1 month
$482k Vol.$10k Liq.39Ends in about 1 month
20%
April 30
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
$299k Vol.
$38k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$299k Vol.$38k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
18%
Yes
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
$361k Vol.
$212k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$361k Vol.$212k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
58%
Pakistan
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?
$51k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$51k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$16k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$16k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
47%
April 30
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$99k Vol.
$14k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$99k Vol.$14k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
13%
Yes
Iran leader end of 2026?
$5.6m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
70
Ends in 9 months
$5.6m Vol.$1.1m Liq.70Ends in 9 months
45%
Mojtaba Khamenei
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
$12.1m Vol.
$495k Liq.
🔥$194k today
10
Ends in 9 months
$12.1m Vol.🔥$194k today$495k Liq.10Ends in 9 months
35%
Yes
Politics · World
Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?
$81k Vol.
$6k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$81k Vol.$6k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
39%
Yes
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by...?
$119k Vol.
$49k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$119k Vol.$49k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
71%
December 31
Kerala Legislative Assembly Election Winner
$52k Vol.
$91k Liq.
19
Ends in 10 days
$52k Vol.$91k Liq.19Ends in 10 days
68%
INC
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
$405k Vol.
$36k Liq.
49
Ends in 3 months
$405k Vol.$36k Liq.49Ends in 3 months
81%
Yes
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?
$1.2m Vol.
$39k Liq.
166
Ends in 3 months
$1.2m Vol.$39k Liq.166Ends in 3 months
10%
June 30
Gulf State military action against Iran by...?
$4k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$4k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
28%
April 30
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
$56.2m Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
🔥$2.4m today
2
Ends in about 16 hours
$56.2m Vol.🔥$2.4m today$1.6m Liq.2Ends in about 16 hours
0%
Yes
Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner
$9k Vol.
$21k Liq.
7
Ends in about 16 hours
$9k Vol.$21k Liq.7Ends in about 16 hours
72%
No election before 2027
Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?
$9k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$9k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
73%
April 9
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 31?
$19k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 16 hours
$19k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 16 hours
27%
Yes