Demographic Predictions & Odds· 108 markets
I
Israel military action against Beirut on...?
$49k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$49k Vol.$40k Liq.Ends in 28 days
99%
April 1
K
KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?
$35k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$35k Vol.$26k Liq.Ends in 28 days
2%
Yes
I
42%
March 28
K
Kurds declare independence from Iran?
$111k Vol.
$21k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$111k Vol.$21k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
W
Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?
$1k Vol.
$2k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 year
$1k Vol.$2k Liq.3Ends in about 1 year
44%
Yes
T
Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election (Smaller Brackets)
$99k Vol.
$29k Liq.
57
Ended
$99k Vol.$29k Liq.57Ended
40%
59-60%
T
44%
55-60%
T
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026?
$56 Vol.
$792 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$56 Vol.$792 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
87%
Up
H
How many people will Trump deport in 2026?
$35k Vol.
$161k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
$35k Vol.$161k Liq.4Ends in 9 months
38%
300-400k
W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?
$536k Vol.
$15k Liq.
🔥$129k today
172
$536k Vol.🔥$129k today$15k Liq.172
16%
Yes
M
51%
Yes
W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$42k Vol.
$11k Liq.
13
Ends in 28 days
$42k Vol.$11k Liq.13Ends in 28 days
25%
April 30
Z
Zelenskyy # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?
$445 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$445 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 8 days
38%
60-79
A
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
$28k Vol.
$7k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$28k Vol.$7k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
12%
Yes
T
Trump's mail-in voting executive order blocked in April?
$966 Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$966 Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 28 days
90%
Yes
T
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?
$10k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 11 months
$10k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 11 months
93%
Up
2
20%
115-120m
Z
Zelenskyy # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$911 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$911 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 5 days
37%
140-159
Z
Zelenskyy # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$15k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$15k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 1 day
73%
80-99
C
71%
4.0–5.0%