Emmett Shear Predictions & Odds· 102 markets
H
How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?
$4 Vol.
$677 Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$4 Vol.$677 Liq.Ends in 28 days
43%
35+ minutes
T
Trump ballroom project unblocked by April 30?
$699 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$699 Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in 28 days
18%
Yes
W
What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?
$241 Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$241 Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 28 days
75%
President 50+ times
T
Trump's mail-in voting executive order blocked in April?
$966 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$966 Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 28 days
90%
Yes
N
NCAA Tournament: Number of Rothstein “This is March” tweets
$29k Vol.
$2k Liq.
4
Ends in 5 days
$29k Vol.$2k Liq.4Ends in 5 days
41%
51–60
C
59%
June 30
W
Mentions · Politics
What will Trump say during White House Easter Egg Roll on April 6?
$8k Vol.
$13k Liq.
1
Ends in 4 days
$8k Vol.$13k Liq.1Ends in 4 days
63%
Jesus Christ
C
57%
June 30
W
What will Trump say during Easter lunch on April 1?
$205k Vol.
$2.3m Liq.
🔥$182k today
135
Ended
$205k Vol.🔥$182k today$2.3m Liq.135Ended
100%
-No Qualifying Event-
W
What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (April 3)
$382 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 15 hours
$382 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in about 15 hours
91%
Trump
W
What will Trump say this week? (April 5)
$27k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
$27k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 3 days
45%
Eight Boats / Eight Ships
W
What will Trump post this week? (March 30 - April 5)
$18k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
$18k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 3 days
96%
Terrorist
W
84%
Disgusting
S
SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?
$21k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$21k Vol.$3k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
82%
Yes
J
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by March 31?
$0 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ended
$0 Vol.$3k Liq.Ended
53%
>5%
W
manchester united · manchester
Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?
$91k Vol.
$21k Liq.
14
Ends in about 2 months
$91k Vol.$21k Liq.14Ends in about 2 months
6%
Yes
C
56%
June 30, 2026
A
Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
$56k Vol.
$2k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$56k Vol.$2k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
75%
Yes
E
OpenAI · ceo
Emmett Shear still CEO of OpenAI by end of week?
$85k Vol.
$0 Liq.
29
Ended
$85k Vol.$0 Liq.29Ended
No
