Employment Rate Predictions & Odds· 104 markets
M
March Unemployment Rate
$157k Vol.
$25k Liq.
🔥$114k today
Ends in about 14 hours
$157k Vol.🔥$114k today$25k Liq.Ends in about 14 hours
34%
4.4%
H
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
$344k Vol.
$28k Liq.
21
Ends in 9 months
$344k Vol.$28k Liq.21Ends in 9 months
60%
5.0%
E
35%
1.0-2.0%
T
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026?
$56 Vol.
$792 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$56 Vol.$792 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
87%
Up
T
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?
$10k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 11 months
$10k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 11 months
93%
Up
F
84%
Pause–Pause–Pause
F
98%
Pause–Pause–Pause
B
51%
No Change
B
Brazil GDP Growth in Q1 2026?
$15k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$15k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
65%
1.5%–1.8%
J
Japan GDP growth in Q1 2026?
$257 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$257 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
46%
0.0–0.2%
U
US recession by end of 2026?
$1.0m Vol.
$68k Liq.
63
Ends in 10 months
$1.0m Vol.$68k Liq.63Ends in 10 months
33%
Yes
W
White House # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?
$10k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$10k Vol.$32k Liq.Ends in 8 days
36%
160-179
C
19%
-0.9 – -0.5%
W
White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$118k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$118k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 1 day
76%
200+
2
50%
≤2.9%
C
71%
4.0–5.0%
I
32%
4.50%+
T
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?
$30k Vol.
$10k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$30k Vol.$10k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?
$537k Vol.
$15k Liq.
🔥$126k today
172
$537k Vol.🔥$126k today$15k Liq.172
14%
Yes