Fed Chair Predictions & Odds· 180 markets
W
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$103k Vol.
$56k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$103k Vol.$56k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
54%
US x Iran Ceasefire
W
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
$17.9m Vol.
$1.8m Liq.
🔥$1.1m today
74
Ends in 7 months
$17.9m Vol.🔥$1.1m today$1.8m Liq.74Ends in 7 months
96%
Kevin Warsh
J
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?
$1.9m Vol.
$41k Liq.
37
Ends in about 1 month
$1.9m Vol.$41k Liq.37Ends in about 1 month
1%
Yes
K
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?
$438k Vol.
$45k Liq.
11
Ends in about 1 month
$438k Vol.$45k Liq.11Ends in about 1 month
51%
May 15
K
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?
$66k Vol.
$33k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
$66k Vol.$33k Liq.1Ends in about 1 month
2%
Yes
W
Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?
$72k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$72k Vol.$28k Liq.Ends in 3 months
92%
Thom Tillis
J
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by March 31?
$0 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ended
$0 Vol.$3k Liq.Ended
53%
>5%
H
How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?
$41k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$41k Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in 9 months
35%
60+
P
Parlays · Hide From New
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair
$107k Vol.
$53k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$107k Vol.$53k Liq.Ends in 9 months
75%
Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%
H
How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
$10k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 26 days
$10k Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in 26 days
44%
1
J
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
$118k Vol.
$17k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$118k Vol.$17k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
70%
December 31
T
Trump · Fed Rates
Trump drops Powell investigation by…?
$5k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$5k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 3 months
67%
June 30
W
No
W
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
$617.3m Vol.
$5k Liq.
2,003
Ends in 9 months
$617.3m Vol.$5k Liq.2,003Ends in 9 months
Kevin Warsh
J
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by Feb 20?
$2.0m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$2.0m Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
>5%
K
March 31
W
January 30
T
January 31, 2026