Federal Reserve Predictions & Odds· 301 markets
Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?
$72k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$72k Vol.$25k Liq.Ends in 3 months
96%
Kevin Cramer
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by March 31?
$0 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours
$0 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in about 4 hours
53%
>5%
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
$24k Vol.
$15k Liq.
14
Ends in 9 months
$24k Vol.$15k Liq.14Ends in 9 months
21%
Yes
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?
$0 Vol.
$5k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$5k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
$5.9m Vol.
$291k Liq.
🔥$184k today
8
Ends in 8 months
$5.9m Vol.🔥$184k today$291k Liq.8Ends in 8 months
34%
3.75%
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?
$65k Vol.
$31k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months
$65k Vol.$31k Liq.1Ends in about 2 months
3%
Yes
Fed decision in April?
$39.2m Vol.
$3.4m Liq.
🔥$2.2m today
22
Ends in 29 days
$39.2m Vol.🔥$2.2m today$3.4m Liq.22Ends in 29 days
97%
No change
Fed Decision in July?
$2.8m Vol.
$260k Liq.
🔥$526k today
Ends in 4 months
$2.8m Vol.🔥$526k today$260k Liq.Ends in 4 months
78%
No change
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$14.7m Vol.
$1.2m Liq.
🔥$281k today
58
Ends in 9 months
$14.7m Vol.🔥$281k today$1.2m Liq.58Ends in 9 months
34%
0 (0 bps)
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
$15.7m Vol.
$1.7m Liq.
🔥$208k today
69
Ends in 7 months
$15.7m Vol.🔥$208k today$1.7m Liq.69Ends in 7 months
95%
Kevin Warsh
Fed Decision in June?
$4.7m Vol.
$754k Liq.
🔥$156k today
13
Ends in 3 months
$4.7m Vol.🔥$156k today$754k Liq.13Ends in 3 months
89%
No change
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
$1.3m Vol.
$195k Liq.
🔥$107k today
17
Ends in 9 months
$1.3m Vol.🔥$107k today$195k Liq.17Ends in 9 months
64%
↓ 3.25%
Fed rate hike in 2026?
$702k Vol.
$47k Liq.
🔥$52k today
27
Ends in 8 months
$702k Vol.🔥$52k today$47k Liq.27Ends in 8 months
21%
Yes
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?
$436k Vol.
$23k Liq.
11
Ends in about 2 months
$436k Vol.$23k Liq.11Ends in about 2 months
52%
May 15
64%
December Meeting
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
$74k Vol.
$20k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$74k Vol.$20k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?
$1.8m Vol.
$135k Liq.
37
Ends in about 1 month
$1.8m Vol.$135k Liq.37Ends in about 1 month
2%
May 14
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
$1.6m Vol.
$231k Liq.
10
Ends in 9 months
$1.6m Vol.$231k Liq.10Ends in 9 months
90%
SpaceX
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?
$10k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 11 months
$10k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 11 months
83%
Up
82%
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