Foreign Aid Predictions & Odds· 175 markets
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?
$8k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$8k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
21%
April 30
Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?
$413k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$413k Vol.$25k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
30%
June 30
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?
$582k Vol.
$13k Liq.
37
Ends in 3 months
$582k Vol.$13k Liq.37Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
Iran military action against Israel on...?
$2.0m Vol.
$19k Liq.
🔥$173k today
1
Ends in about 7 hours
$2.0m Vol.🔥$173k today$19k Liq.1Ends in about 7 hours
96%
March 27
Israel military action against Gaza on...?
$975k Vol.
$19k Liq.
🔥$135k today
Ends in about 7 hours
$975k Vol.🔥$135k today$19k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
41%
March 31
Israel military action against Beirut on...?
$128k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$128k Vol.$25k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
96%
March 24
Iran leader end of 2026?
$5.6m Vol.
$1.0m Liq.
71
Ends in 9 months
$5.6m Vol.$1.0m Liq.71Ends in 9 months
48%
Mojtaba Khamenei
Israel military action against Lebanon on...?
$3.6m Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$3.6m Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
96%
March 31
Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?
$63k Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$63k Vol.$35k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
98%
March 28
Will any European country expel an Israeli ambassador by March 31?
$125k Vol.
$14k Liq.
21
Ends in about 7 hours
$125k Vol.$14k Liq.21Ends in about 7 hours
0%
Yes
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
$933k Vol.
$89k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$933k Vol.$89k Liq.Ends in 3 months
7%
Yes
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
$1.6m Vol.
$266k Liq.
11
Ends in 9 months
$1.6m Vol.$266k Liq.11Ends in 9 months
90%
SpaceX
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
$841k Vol.
$120k Liq.
29
Ends in 9 months
$841k Vol.$120k Liq.29Ends in 9 months
15%
Yes
Iran military action against Israel on...?
$3k Vol.
$47k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$3k Vol.$47k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
89%
April 1
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?
$52k Vol.
$55k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$52k Vol.$55k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
57%
June 30
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?
$1.5m Vol.
$25k Liq.
78
Ends in 3 months
$1.5m Vol.$25k Liq.78Ends in 3 months
14%
June 30
Israel military action against Lebanon on...?
$4k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$4k Vol.$31k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
96%
April 2
Israel military action against Beirut on...?
$33k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$33k Vol.$22k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
72%
April 1
Israel military action against Gaza on...?
$720 Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$720 Vol.$35k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
55%
April 9
Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?
$9k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$9k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
73%
April 9